Its my understanding that "Tracts" are based on population criteria
(minimum, optimal, and maximum number of persons). TAZs may be too small in
some cases to fit the "tract" definition, or may not have any population at
all.
. . Jamsheed Mehta, AICP
Chief Planner, Transportation Division
Wichita-Sedgwick County
Metropolitan Area Planning Department
Tel: (316) 268-4457
Fax: (316) 268-4390
e-mail: mehta_j(a)ci.wichita.ks.us
-----Original Message-----
From: ed christopher [mailto:edc@berwyned.com]
Sent: Thursday, November 08, 2001 3:37 PM
To: 'ctpp-news maillist'
Subject: Re: [CTPP] Re: Geographic coverage, C2SS & ACS
since patty raised the issue of tracts, i have often wondered why do we have
tracts? why don't we
have a zonal system in urban areas that is created by the public data
users--something like TAZs. in
many areas the TAZs are developed by a collection agencies with planning and
data responsibilities.
if memory serves me tracts were historically a creation of the census bureau
which is a data
collector. TAZs are a product of regional planning organizations (which
happen to have
transportation responsibilities) which are data users.
Patty Becker wrote:
> Again, please feel free to post this to the list serve if you wish.
>
> My clear understanding is that "small area" means tract. I don't think
> anyone thinks the 60 month data will be good enough for block groups.
>
> If TAZs are tract equivalent, then the data should be as good as for
> tracts. For heavy attractor TAZs which are split below tract level, the
> transportation community has to negotiate with the bureau for a special
tab
> to deliver all TAZs. The data should support the tab
> adequately, Meanwhile, of course, someone is going to have to be
> responsible (MPO by MPO and state by state) for keeping the geocoding file
> up to date!
>
> No one knows whether these 60 month data are going to "feel right." Only
> time will tell. But in any event the CTPP users will have data equivalent
> to that for all users who use tracts. Meanwhile, we still have all these
> hurdles in Congress, etc. etc.
>
> Patty Becker
---
Ed Christopher
Metropolitan Specialist
Midwest Resource Center
Federal Highway Administration
19900 Governors Drive
Olympia Fields, Illinois 60461
708-283-3534 (V)
708-283-3501 (F)
Elizabeth Hartmann wrote:
> Hello,
> I work in transportation planning, and we are currently evaluating data availability regarding the C2SS and the American Community Survey. I understand that the ACS will provide yearly info on population groups of 65,000 or more, and that for smaller areas, several years' data can be pooled to maximize reliability.
>
> Within this frame, at how fine a geographic level will this data be available? Currently, the decennial census provides data down to the block group level; will the C2SS and the ACS provide transportation data at this fine a level?
>
> Thank you!
> Liz Hartmann, Ph.D.
> Research Analysis Specialist
> MNDOT:Office of Investment Management
just to confirm what we spoke about on the phone. i cannot say with any certainty what the final geography will be with ACS nor even its content. as i noted, two efforts are underway within OBM. 1) to advise congress on the content and 2) on methodology (which impacts on geographic levels). how congress will respond
is anyone's' guess. the mood in congress up to now has been to cut content and in january i am told the census issues will be moved over to another subcommittee that will have a chairman that is even more concerned about the questionnaire being "too" long.
as far as getting ACS at a large scale geography (like the 65K areas) that should not be an issue. over the years we have been told that multiple years of ACS data can be pooled to produce small area summaries, but how small the areas will be and if this comes to pass, is not a done deal. most of the detail
surrounding the ACS is still up in the air.
in terms of the content, several of us within DOT have made our case to OMB on the importance and legal needs for the transportation related questions. i believe that right now OMB is review the information submitted by all the federal agencies and will reporting out on it sometime in the future--this is an issue we
are following.
i cross posted this to our ctpp-listserve for others who may have similar questions or who might be able to expound on any of the points raised.
--
Ed Christopher
Metropolitan Specialist
Midwest Resource Center
Federal Highway Administration
19900 Governors Drive
Olympia Fields, Illinois 60461
708-283-3534 (V)
708-283-3501 (F)
Again, please feel free to post this to the list serve if you wish.
My clear understanding is that "small area" means tract. I don't think
anyone thinks the 60 month data will be good enough for block groups.
If TAZs are tract equivalent, then the data should be as good as for
tracts. For heavy attractor TAZs which are split below tract level, the
transportation community has to negotiate with the bureau for a special tab
to deliver all TAZs. The data should support the tab
adequately, Meanwhile, of course, someone is going to have to be
responsible (MPO by MPO and state by state) for keeping the geocoding file
up to date!
No one knows whether these 60 month data are going to "feel right." Only
time will tell. But in any event the CTPP users will have data equivalent
to that for all users who use tracts. Meanwhile, we still have all these
hurdles in Congress, etc. etc.
The C2Ss is separate from the ACS. There is no way that the number of
cases will allow for TAZ level reporting, even if the 2000 and 2001 surveys
are combined. Perhaps we can get combined data at the 100K level out of
them next year. I would suggest, however, that the CTPP community keep a
good handle on how the coding is proceeding for the C2SS--are they doing a
good job of it? The ACS will be like the C2SS in this regard and if there
are problems, it's important to be aware of them.
Patty Becker
At 02:05 PM 11/08/2001 -0600, ed christopher wrote:
>Elizabeth and Ed-- (note, I am not posting this to the listserv, but Ed can
>choose to post it if he wishes)
>
>At the current time, I believe that with the current plans for sampling for
>the ACS, it would take 5 years of accumulated data (60 months) for the
>Census Bureau to release small area data. However, if the sampling rate
>decreases to any large extent, it is not clear what would happen to small
>area data. To clarify Ed's earlier remarks, we do not know if "small area"
>means census tract, or block group level geography. We are very concerned
>about whether and how the transportation community will be able to generate
>an "equivalent" to a CTPP file from the ACS, and if reporting by TAZ will be
>possible or allowed.
>
>Elaine Murakami
>Federal Highway Administration
>
>Keith Miller wrote:
>
> > According to the Census Bureau
> > (http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/2001/ntc102901.html):
> >
> > "By 2004, the American Community Survey ... will produce estimates for
> > geographic areas and population groups of 65,000 or more, and by 2008, for
> > even the smallest areas and population groups in the country."
> >
> > Just what "the smallest areas and populations groups" means is anyone's
> > guess, but it was my understanding that they're targeting the block-group
> > level. But as Ed pointed out, this all depends on congress and funding...
> >
> > Also to address one point that Elizabeth asked in her original question,
> > "will the C2SS and the ACS provide transportation data at this fine a level
> > [block group]?" It is my understanding that the C2SS (Census 2000
> > Supplementary Survey) data will not be available for anything smaller than
> > counties or cities with more than 250,000 residents. The sample size of the
> > C2SS was not sufficient to support anything smaller than this. For the ACS,
> > see above.
> >
> > ------------------------------------------------------------------------
> > Keith Miller
> > Principal Planner: GIS and Modeling
> > North Jersey Transportation Planning Authority, Inc.
> > One Newark Center, 17th floor
> > Newark, NJ 07102
> > 973-639-8444
> > kmiller(a)njtpa.org
> >
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: owner-ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net [mailto:owner-ctpp-news@chrispy.net]On
> > Behalf Of ed christopher
> > Sent: Wednesday, November 07, 2001 4:43 PM
> > To: Elizabeth Hartmann
> > Cc: elaine (fta) murakami; ctpp-news maillist
> > Subject: [CTPP] Re: Geographic coverage, C2SS & ACS
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Patricia C. (Patty) Becker 248/354-6520
APB Associates/SEMCC FAX 248/354-6645
28300 Franklin Road Home 248/355-2428
Southfield, MI 48034 pbecker(a)umich.edu
In a coupla weeks the Census Bureau will be releasing the Census 2000
Supplementary Survey (C2SS) Data for cities and counties of 250,000
people or more. The C2SS was a 700,000-household survey that used the
American Community Survey questionnaire and methods.
In addition to the new data coming out, the TRB Subcommittee has
established a web page with the transportation data elements of the
C2SS. We have a power point presentation showing tables and maps of the
data, excel spread sheets with the transportation variables by
state-comparing 1990 and 2000, a written review of the findings and much
more. Our web page can be found directly at
http://www.TRBcensus.com/c2ss.html
The following was sent to me by Nanda Srinivasan via Peter Van Demark,
Caliper Corporation.
=====================
Caliper Corporation includes nationwide geographic files with 2000
Census data with all of its GIS software products. These geographic
files include states, counties, MSAs, census places, census tracts, and
ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTAs).
The 2000 Census data are profiles of the general demographic
characteristics, based on SF 1. There are 71 population and 25 housing
variables, which are based on the 100-percent data (questions asked of
all people and about every housing unit). The variables describe sex,
age, race, Hispanic or Latino household relationship, household type,
group quarters population, housing occupancy, and housing tenure. These
data can be used directly, without needing to download or assemble
files. The fields have descriptive names, and moving the cursor over a
column heading in a dataview shows extensive metadata for that column.
Users of Maptitude for Redistricting have gotten PL94-171 data with the
geographic files for blocks, VTDs, tracts, etc. for their state or
county, and will be receiving complete SF 1 data, with a table chooser
to make it easier to deal with the 82 tables and 8113 fields for tracts
and above. These data are also available as Data CDs for users of other
Caliper GIS software products.
All of the Caliper GIS software products also include nationwide
streets, based on TIGER/Line 2000, distributed on a single CD. This
geographic file can be used for locating by address as well as
displaying streets as a layer in your map.
For more information, please visit our web site at
(http://www.caliper.com).
----------------------------------------------------------------
Peter Van Demark
Director of GIS Products and Training Phone: 617-527-4700
Caliper Corporation Fax: 617-527-5113
1172 Beacon Street E-mail: peter(a)caliper.com
Newton MA 02461-9926 Web site: http://www.caliper.com
FYI
Rick Ayers from ESRI sent me the attached note (inst.doc) that explains how to download redistricting data at the geographic detail of County - census blocks from the ESRI website at:
www.geographynetwork.com. For those who want to convert Census data into ESRI shapefiles, I think the method Rick describes is easier to use than the one I wrote down to this listserve a while ago.
Claritas Inc. is also making Census data available for free downloads from their website at:
www.census.claritas.com.
Thank you
Nanda Srinivasan
>From Census2000 <Census2000(a)ccmc.org>
October 18, 2001
Census Bureau Says No To Adjustment;
Review Finds Duplicates Wipe Out Most of Net Undercount
Plus: Academy Panel Issues Report on Census 2000;
Upcoming Advisory Committee Meetings; and more.
The Census Bureau announced yesterday that it would not adjust Census
2000 data for non-political purposes, such as allocating federal program
funds, citing a larger number of previously unidentified duplicates that
reduced the net national undercount to "virtually zero in statistical
terms." At a press conference in Washington, DC, Acting Bureau Director
William Barron said he "concurred with and approved" the recommendation
of the Executive Steering Committee for Accuracy and Coverage Evaluation
Policy (ESCAP), which transmitted a report to him earlier this week,
that unadjusted data should be used for non-redistricting purposes. He
also said it would have been "a terrible mistake" to adjust the census
counts issued to the states for redistricting last winter, based on the
A.C.E. results.
The bureau said that evaluation of "considerable new evidence" revealed
that the Accuracy and Coverage Evaluation (A.C.E.) survey did not
measure "a significant number" of double-counts and other counting
mistakes (collectively called "erroneous enumerations"). As a result,
the ESCAP found, the A.C.E. overstated the net national undercount by
about three million people. The committee reported earlier this year
that 3.1 million people were counted twice and an estimated 6.4 million
people were missed in Census 2000, for a net national undercount of 3.3
million. The net undercount is the difference between the number of
people counted twice or in the wrong place and the number of people
missed, as measured by the post-census survey.
The bureau issued preliminary revised undercount estimates that take
into account the newly identified duplicates, bringing the net
undercount down to 0.06 percent from the 1.18 percent reported last
March. Higher proportions of racial minorities and Hispanics than
Whites were missed in the census, although the gaps were smaller than in
1990. The revised undercount for the Black (non-Hispanic) population is
0.78 percent, compared to the 2.17 percent originally reported; the
Hispanic undercount was lowered from 2.85 percent to 1.25 percent. The
revised estimate for Whites and all other groups showed a small
overcount of 0.28 percent, compared to an initial net undercount
estimate of 0.73 percent. The 1990 census had a net national undercount
of 1.6 percent, based on a similar though smaller quality-check survey.
The ESCAP noted that the "net undercount remains disproportionately
distributed among renters and minority populations." The committee said
that further research might result in further revised estimates of
undercounting or overcounting that could be used to improve the accuracy
of the annual population estimates, particularly for harder-to-count
demographic groups.
At the press conference, Mr. Barron said the Census Bureau must start
planning now for the 2010 census. He said he did not believe the bureau
could ever complete an Accuracy and Coverage Evaluation program similar
to the one fielded in 2000, in time to adjust the detailed census
numbers issued to the states for redistricting within a year after
Census Day.
Congressman Dan Miller (R-FL), chairman of the Subcommittee on the
Census, applauded the Census Bureau for "[choosing] the count that
accurately shows real people, living in real neighborhoods and
communities in a very real nation. We now know with scientific
certainty, that a virtual census would have been less accurate than a
real count." Referencing the Commerce Department's decision not to
adjust the 1990 census based on a similar post-census survey, the
chairman said, "We should give up on this twice failed experiment and
put this money into improving the real count in 2010."
Congressman William "Lacy" Clay (D-MO), the subcommittee's senior
Democrat, called the bureau's decision "disappointing and troubling."
He said the revised undercount estimates "do not allay the concerns of
cities and communities seeking their fair share of funds for critical
services. Despite many successes, Census 2000 still missed a lot of
people in our poorer neighborhoods." Congressman Clay called on the
bureau to release the adjusted numbers to assess the count's accuracy at
the local level.
Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney (D-NY), a subcommittee member, said the
Census Bureau's decision "gave us more questions than answers,"
including why the bureau "conduct[ed] a search for duplicates but not
conduct a search for omissions." She called on the Bush Administration
to publicly release the adjusted data. Mr. Barron's statement and the
ESCAP report are available through the Census Bureau's web site at
<http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/2001/webcast10_17event.html>.
National Academy of Sciences panel evaluates Census 2000: The National
Research Council (NRC), an arm of the National Academy of Sciences, has
issued a new report, "The 2000 Census: Interim Assessment." The Panel
to Review the 2000 Census, chaired by former Bureau of Labor Statistics
Commissioner Janet Norwood, assessed Census 2000 operations, including
the Accuracy and Coverage Evaluation (A.C.E.) program and statistical
imputation methods, based on information available through August 2001.
The expert panel said Census 2000 was "well executed in many respects,"
and that adequate funding helped to keep operations on schedule. It
called the A.C.E. program, designed to measure the net undercount (or
overcount) in the census, "well planned and documented... and
[generally] well executed." The panel did not offer an opinion on
whether Census 2000 data should be adjusted based on the A.C.E., but
concluded that the Census Bureau followed its plan for evaluating the
census and A.C.E. results, and that the recommendation last March to
release unadjusted numbers for redistricting purposes "was justifiable."
Imputation, a statistical procedure used to count people about whom the
Census Bureau has incomplete or no direct information, was largely
responsible for the lower net undercount in 2000, the panel said.
According to the report, the 2000 census included 5.8 million imputed
people, three times the number imputed in the 1990 census. A
disproportionate number of imputed persons were minorities, renters, and
children, the panel found, "thus accounting in large part for the
reduction in differential net undercount for these groups, relative to
non-Hispanic whites, owners, and older people." The State of Utah has
challenged the use of imputation in federal court, contending that the
Census Act and the U.S. Constitution prohibit the use of statistical
methods to compile the state population totals for congressional
apportionment purposes.
The panel also questioned the accuracy of the Census Bureau's
independent population benchmark, compiled from administrative data such
as birth, death, Medicare, and immigration records. The Demographic
Analysis estimate of 279.6 million was lower than the raw census count
(281.4 million) for the first time, and about 5 million below the
A.C.E.-adjusted population estimate of 284.7 million. Focusing on the
bureau's methods for gauging immigration and emigration, the Academy
panel concluded that "demographic analysis should not be used as a
standard for evaluation [of census accuracy] at this time." The Census
Bureau had cited the discrepancy between the three measurements as a
primary factor in its recommendation against releasing adjusted census
data last March. Federal agencies and outside experts should research
improved methods for estimating legal and undocumented immigration, the
panel suggested.
The panel singled out four successful innovations in Census 2000:
contracting for data processing, with better technology to 'capture'
responses on the forms; simplified questionnaires and a direct mail
strategy to encourage response; the paid advertising campaign and
expanded outreach; and aggressive recruitment of census takers. The
higher-than-expected mail response rate -- about the same as in 1990 -
was "an important achievement," the panel said, although areas with low
mail-back rates in 1990 had similarly low response in 2000. The report
also noted the "marked decline" in the mail-back rate for the census
long form, which the panel cautioned could affect the quality of those
data.
The NRC report expressed concern about the quality of the count of
people in so-called "group quarters," such as college dorms, prisons,
and nursing homes. The panel also recommended further evaluation of
procedures to build the national address list (called the "Master
Address File," or MAF), to determine if the Local Update of Census
Addresses (LUCA) program improved the accuracy of the MAF. While it
made sense to seek address information from local and Tribal governments
and the U.S. Postal Service, the panel said, "there were problems in
execution that may have increased duplicate and erroneous enumerations."
The National Research Council is part of the National Academy of
Sciences. The report is available through the Internet at
<www.nap.edu/books/0309076498/html/.
Appropriations (funding) update: Congress is expected to pass a third
"Continuing Resolution" to keep federal agencies running at fiscal year
2001 funding levels until lawmakers enact spending bills for fiscal year
2002, which started on October 1st. The new Continuing Resolution will
run through October 31.
Census Advisory Committee meetings: The Decennial Census Advisory
Committee will meet on November 5 - 6, and the five Race and Ethnic
Advisory Committees will meet on November 7 - 9, to discuss Census 2000
evaluations (including the ESCAP's work), planning for the 2010 census,
the status of the American Community Survey, the findings of the
National Academy of Sciences' Panel to Review the 2000 Census, the
expanded Census Information Center program, and other relevant issues.
Both meetings will take place at the Hilton Alexandria Mark Center
Hotel, 5000 Seminary Road, Alexandria, VA (703-845-1010). The sessions
are open to the public.
New Census 2000 evaluations: The U.S. General Accounting Office, the
audit and investigative arm of Congress, has issued two evaluations of
Census 2000 operations and management. The reports, "2000 Census:
Review of Partnership Program Highlights Best Practices for Future
Operations (GAO-01-579, Aug. 20, 2001)" and "2000 Census: Better
Productivity Data Needed for Future Planning and Budgeting (GAO-02-4,
Oct. 4, 2001)," are available through GAO's web site at www.gao.gov
<http://www.gao.gov> or by calling 202-512-6000 (TDD/202-512-2537).
Questions about the information contained in this News Alert may be
directed to Terri Ann Lowenthal at 202/484-2270 or, by e-mail at
<mailto:terriann2k@aol.com>. For copies of previous News Alerts and
other information, use our web site www.census2000.org
<http://www.census2000.org>. Please direct all requests to receive News
Alerts, and all changes in address/phone/fax/e-mail, to the Census 2000
Initiative at <mailto:Census2000@ccmc.org> or 202/326-8700. Please feel
free to circulate this information to colleagues and other interested
individuals.
Nanda, what are the implications for my CTPP package if the Census Bureau changed, added and split RI's census tracks? Our TAZ's are based on tracks and block groups.
Michael Moan, RI Statewide Planning (MPO).
Recently, Elaine Murakami, FHWA and Nanda Srinivasan, Cambridge
Systematics Inc., developed a transportation focused power point
presentation using the C2SS data. They have passed the presentation
along and it is now posted on the TRB Subcommittee on Census Data
Webpage.
http://www.TRBcensus.com/c2ss.html
In addition to the powerpoint presentation are some "dot" points that
several of us developed when the C2SS data first came out in August.
The C2SS was a survey of 700K households designed to test the
operational feasibility of collecting long form-type data
simultaneously, but separately, from a decennial census. The first wave
of C2SS data was released at the statewide level in August 2001.
Additional data for most cities and counties of 250,000 or more people
are scheduled for release in the fall 2001, and winter 2002.
The Census Bureau has now made available the Census 2000 TIGER/Line files
and the Census 2000 Tract Relationship files. All files are now available.
This includes the first release of the Census 2000 TIGER/Line files for the
Island areas (American Samoa, Guam, Midway Islands, Northern Mariana
Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands). These files will be available for
purchase from the Census Bureau either on DVD (1 disk) or CD-ROM (7 disks).
Both the DVD and the CD-ROMs will be created as "one-off" copies as they are
ordered.
The Census 2000 TIGER/Line files may be downloaded from:
http://www.census.gov/geo/www/tiger/tiger2k/tgr2000.html
Please be aware that there are some differences between this version and the
Redistricting Census 2000 TIGER/Line files. This is the version that
contains the ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTAs) and the address ranges based
upon the final Census 2000 Master Address File. It also contains the
correct boundaries for the Congressional Districts for the 106th Congress.
The document
http://www.census.gov/geo/www/tiger/tiger2k/rdchg2k.txt
contains a description of all the corrections that were made to the Census
2000 TIGER/Line files from the Redistricting version.
The Census 2000 Tract Relationship files may be downloaded from:
http://www.census.gov/geo/www/relate/rel_tract.html
If you have any questions, please send them to:
geography(a)geo.census.gov
Bob LaMacchia
Geography Division
U. S. Census Bureau
(301) 457-1022
rlamacchia(a)geo.census.gov