Mr. Herlihy,
Why pick on the smaller MPOs? From what I've seen around the country, the
most "invalid" models are predominantly in the largest metro areas (with
the worst one - in terms of documented traffic assignment error - from the
agency in YOUR metro area). Where's the proof that the extensive data
collection done in the largest MPOs actually helps?
Sam Granato
Ohio DOT, Office of Technical Services
1980 W. Broad Street, Columbus, OH 43223
Phone: 614-644-6796, Fax: 614-752-8646
"We don't see things as they are, we see them as we are." Anais Nin
Ed Herlihy <ed.herlihy(a)comcast.net>
Sent by: owner-ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
06/04/02 06:35 AM
To: ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
cc:
Subject: Re: [CTPP] Census JTW
Folks:
As a transportation modeler and one who is constantly looking for good
data that will help us better calibrate and validate our forecasting
procedures, the early review of the CTPP macro data and the trends are of
course interesting and an exciting preview of what is about to come.
What I would hope, however, is that before jumping to lots of conclusions
about what has happened and what is most likely to happen in the future,
we would continue to organize and plan for the release and use of the data
at the TAZ level in our MSA's and provide guidance (and support) to those
who maintain the models in these areas on how to use the data to
re-validate (and improve) the local forecasting models, especially in
smaller MSA's.
I know that there are several superb analysts on this list (and the TMIP
list too) and that for many of the larger MSA's, that such a detailed
validation plan and process is in place and ready to go. I wonder, in
some cases, for some of the smaller or new UA.s and even some of these
newer UC's, that when the CTPP detailed data is finally released, whether
the time and resources will be spent to look at the data at the community
and also the corridor/TAZ level and then to see if the existing forecast
models that are up and running need fine tuning, and whether they are
demonstrating consistency (validity) in the forecast mode for the Year
2000.
Also, as we all are seeing very clearly, the non-work travel purpose
continues to have an increasing impact on our system needs.
So, I am also curious to know if there is has been a defined process in
the smaller jurisdictions to improve data collection efforts for these non
work travel modes, as well. It is my hope that with the raft of local
governmental fiscal constraints that such important and vital data
collection efforts were not cut back too much, if at all possible.
Ed Herlihy
Transportation Consultant
Reston VA.
----- Original Message -----
From: Alan E. Pisarski
To: Putta, Viplava ; ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
Sent: Monday, June 03, 2002 4:58 PM
Subject: Re: [CTPP] Census JTW
There is a chart in CIA II that shows that women lag about a 1/2 later
than men nationwide on average. It will be interesting to see what has
happened to that distrib since. AEP
----- Original Message -----
From: Putta, Viplava
To: ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
Sent: Monday, June 03, 2002 4:26 PM
Subject: [CTPP] Census JTW
Yes, carpooling went down drastically from 1980-90 and obviously not as
dramatic from 1990-2000. We had over 23% JTW trips by carpool in 1980
Nationwide! 1990 it was down to just over 13% (Nationwide).
I would argue that given the economic condition in 1990 (beaten down) vs.
2000 (just when the .com bubble was to burst but still upbeat) - losses in
carpooling and transit are not as significant.
Comparing 1995 NPTS and Census 2000 I have the following to offer:
· Trip chaining (the part that goes with JTW) is up during 1990s (NPTS)
· Huge buy-in in favor of 'flex schedules' during 1990s has essentially
marginalized the significance of JTW (there was a drop of more than 5%
from 1990 to 1995 in peak hour trip starts in our case)
· Each trip taken by transit would have a front end and a back end trip ?
(park & ride or ride & walk) ? Census asks for only one mode that covered
most of the distance (is comparable to 1990) thereby undercounting all
other trips;
· Vehicle occupancy rate for HBW is a little bit different from what JTW
indicates for the same reason as above ? our HBW VOR is less than what
census shows (Tulsa)
Another factor ? I have noticed with NPTS is ? Women as a percent of peak
hour commuting public is higher than for men (13.6% men vs. 19.7% women in
1995 for Tulsa). It could be because women tend to keep more regular
hours than men. May be 'Rideshare' programs should focus on Women-only
carpools as a potential market share.
Whatever it may be, we might notice with CTPP an increase in share of
women in commuting during peak hours ? to somewhat contributing to the
erosion in transit patronage, decline in carpooling and increase in
commute times.
Viplav Putta
INCOG
One item that we can't see right now from the Census profiles is
differences by gender in the JTW. Historically women have had shorter
distance and time commutes than men. Women were more likely to take
jobs closer to home and took care of children and other household
responsiblities. I am wondering if some of the increase in overall
travel times might be an indication that women are making employment
location choices more similarly to men. We'll have to wait for CTPP
to do this analysis!
I'm surprised at you Alan. I'd certainly never bet against Michigan.
--Phil
"Alan E.
Pisarski" To: "Chuck Purvis" <CPurvis(a)mtc.ca.gov>,
<PISARSKI(a)ix.netc <ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net>
om.com> cc:
Sent by: Subject: Re: [CTPP] Michigan #1 in Drive Alone
owner-ctpp-news@c Share
hrispy.net
06/03/2002 02:22
PM
THE SMART MONIES ON WYOMING. AEP
----- Original Message -----
From: Chuck Purvis <CPurvis(a)mtc.ca.gov>
To: <ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net>
Sent: Monday, June 03, 2002 1:06 PM
Subject: [CTPP] Michigan #1 in Drive Alone Share
> TO: CTPP-News
>
> It looks like Michigan is still the number one state in the union in
terms
of share of commuters driving alone to work. Data released this morning
(6/3/02) shows that the Michigan drive alone share is 83.2 percent
(compares
to 81.5 percent in 1990.) Today's data release also shows Ohio with a very
high drive alone share, at 82.8 percent (comparing to 80.3 percent in
1990).
I don't think any states have drive alone shares higher than Michigan or
Ohio, but we're still missing data for five states (Arkansas, Colorado,
Utah, Idaho, Wyoming). That data will be out about 1:00 PM Eastern time on
Tuesday, along with US totals.
>
> Very good article on increasing commute times in this past Friday's
Christian Science Monitor:
>
> http://www.csmonitor.com/2002/0531/p01s01-ussc.html
>
> Alan Pisarski, Tim Lomax and the usual suspects are interviewed.
Interesting to note that the Monitor didn't fall into the trap of reporting
on anecdotal commutes. I'll be interested in how the Wall Street Journal
and
the Monitor and other national papers handle this information once the
balance of data is released Tuesday....
>
> Alan: what's this about a 12 percent drop in Virginia carpooling?
>
> Re-cap of other relevant Census sites:
>
> Press release site for demographic profiles:
> http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/2002/demoprofiles.html
>
> Best gateway to acquire demographic profiles in PDF format:
> http://censtats.census.gov/pub/Profiles.shtml
>
> FTP site for the Demographic Profile datasets:
> http://www2.census.gov/census_2000/datasets/100_and_sample_profile/
>
> (I'll be looking at the "All States" sub-directory to have all national,
state, metro area and place-level data perhaps by Tuesday?)
>
> Metropolitan Data Shack (site with selected 1990 Census data for all 284
metro areas and 50 states)
> http://home.earthlink.net/~clpurvis/metrodat/
>
> Chuck Purvis, MTC
> 27-28.
>
The Christian Science Monitor article (http://www.csmonitor.com/2002/0531/p01s01-ussc.html) included:
"The change [increase in commute time], while it may stem in part from new data-gathering methods, is significant."
Is the change in the range for long commutes the only change that was made in "data-gathering methods"?
(What was the change in the range for long commutes (someone said the 1990 high-end range was 99+ minutes)?
Since the 1990 long form simply asked how long, in minutes, is the commute (ie no ranges were included on the form),
why didn't the Bureau just add up the total travel time and divide by the number of respondents?)
Considering the fact that the total population of North Dakota did not change in the 1990's, I doubt that the actual rise in average commuting time was any where near the reported 22%.
Rob
Robert B. Case, PE, PTOE
Principal Transportation Engineer
Hampton Roads Planning District Commission
723 Woodlake Dr., Chesapeake, Va. 23320
voice:757-420-8300; fax:757-523-4881
rcase(a)hrpdc.org
MSA data: 1990-2000 comparison : Geographic differences in MSA definition. Elaine Murakami, FHWA and Nandu Srinivasan, CSI
June 3, 2002
MSAs and PMSAs and CMSAs are defined by the Census Bureau for statistical reporting purposes. For information on definitions, please see http://www.census.gov/population/www/estimates/metroarea.html
MSAs used in this analysis use June 1999 definition. All the Census 2000 data will use this geographic definition. For a comparison between the 1990 and 2000 definition, please see the attached excel file (geography_comparison.xls).
These changes in definitions are why some of the numbers for 1990 differ from those published in the "Journey to Work Trends" report published by FHWA in 1993.
Average Travel Time to Work
Historically, the New York City metropolitan area has had the longest average travel time to work. This remains true, with the average travel time of 34.0 minutes.
In 1990, the MSAs with the longest travel times were: New York City (30.0 minutes); Washington, DC (28.2 minutes), and Chicago (27.9 minutes).
In 2000, the MSAs with the longest travel time after NYC are: Washington, DC (31.7 minutes); Atlanta (31.2 minutes), and Chicago (31.0 minutes). Workers in Atlanta reported the largest increases since 1990, with an increase of 5.2 minutes.
Means of Transportation to Work
In most of these MSAs, there was a small increase in the proportion of workers driving alone, and a corresponding decrease in carpooling. Transit shares, in general, showed slight declines.
The largest increase in the proportion of workers using transit for their journey-to-work was in the Las Vegas, NV MSA, where the transit share increased from 2.0 percent to 4.1 percent. Considering the very large increase in total population, the number of workers using transit in the Las Vegas MSA increased from 8,150 to 28,526.
The number of workers using transit in MSAs with increases in the share using transit include: Boston, MA (from 237,463 to 261,862 workers); Portland, OR (from 41,023 to 63,126 workers); and Seattle, WA (from 91,391 to 119,919 workers).
Vehicle Availability
In general, the proportion of households without any vehicles in declining, and the proportion of households with 2 vehicles is increasing. However, in the Los Angeles MSA and the Las Vegas MSA, the proportion of households without vehicles has increased since 1990.
States not included:
The following States are not included in this analysis, even though the states had MSAs with population greater than one million:
Arkansas
Colorado
Minnesotta
Michigan
Ohio
Utah
We will re-do the spreadsheet as the data for the remaining states are released.
Enjoy!
TO: CTPP-News
It looks like Michigan is still the number one state in the union in terms of share of commuters driving alone to work. Data released this morning (6/3/02) shows that the Michigan drive alone share is 83.2 percent (compares to 81.5 percent in 1990.) Today's data release also shows Ohio with a very high drive alone share, at 82.8 percent (comparing to 80.3 percent in 1990). I don't think any states have drive alone shares higher than Michigan or Ohio, but we're still missing data for five states (Arkansas, Colorado, Utah, Idaho, Wyoming). That data will be out about 1:00 PM Eastern time on Tuesday, along with US totals.
Very good article on increasing commute times in this past Friday's Christian Science Monitor:
http://www.csmonitor.com/2002/0531/p01s01-ussc.html
Alan Pisarski, Tim Lomax and the usual suspects are interviewed. Interesting to note that the Monitor didn't fall into the trap of reporting on anecdotal commutes. I'll be interested in how the Wall Street Journal and the Monitor and other national papers handle this information once the balance of data is released Tuesday....
Alan: what's this about a 12 percent drop in Virginia carpooling?
Re-cap of other relevant Census sites:
Press release site for demographic profiles:
http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/2002/demoprofiles.html
Best gateway to acquire demographic profiles in PDF format:
http://censtats.census.gov/pub/Profiles.shtml
FTP site for the Demographic Profile datasets:
http://www2.census.gov/census_2000/datasets/100_and_sample_profile/
(I'll be looking at the "All States" sub-directory to have all national, state, metro area and place-level data perhaps by Tuesday?)
Metropolitan Data Shack (site with selected 1990 Census data for all 284 metro areas and 50 states)
http://home.earthlink.net/~clpurvis/metrodat/
Chuck Purvis, MTC
27-28.
The article does not mention two things that may be reasons for declining
car-pooling and transit shares. One is personal security and the other is
ability of people to work at home by computer which did not exist in 1990 to
the extent is does today. The overwhelming reason however has to be
convenience and private space.
I don't have a baseball team.
Mike Willett, P.E.
Transportation Planning Engineer
Yavapai County, Arizona
-----Original Message-----
From: Chuck Purvis [mailto:CPurvis@mtc.ca.gov]
Sent: Thursday, May 30, 2002 4:21 PM
To: ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
Subject: [CTPP] USA Today article on drive alone commute (long post)
TO: CTPP-News
Here's the link to today's USA Today article on driving alone in America. Of
course, the Census Bureau hasn't yet released data for nine states and
Puerto Rico (which are due out next week.) My bet is that Michigan (data not
yet released) is still the #1 state in terms of drive alone share of total
commute!
http://www.usatoday.com/money/covers/2002-05-30-driving-alone.htm
By the way, my old web site has 1990 data on state-level commute-to-work
shares, at:
http://home.earthlink.net/~clpurvis/metrodat/
and, more specifically:
http://home.earthlink.net/~clpurvis/metrodat/statec5.htm
Reading this USA Today article reminds me of a book that I just read - -
"Damn Lies and Statistics: Untangling Numbers from the Media, Politicians
and Activists" by Joel Best, UC Press, 2001. Recommended reading. Excellent
for critical thinking about the statistics that media and others use.
Which brings me to my point about lies and statistics in the USA Today
article. I'll try to be brief.
1. USA Today states that the drive alone commute share in the San Francisco
metro area declined from 73 percent in 1990 to 68 percent in 2000. The 2000
figure is accurate at 68.0 percent. On the other hand, our 1990 drive alone
commute share was 68.2 percent. So, our overall drive alone commute share
declined from 68.2 percent to 68.0 percent. (This is nice, but not "wow"!)
2. USA Today claims that "Many transportation officials, planners and
environmentalists have concluded that carpooling lanes don't help reduce
traffic." Well, this is pretty shaky journalism. Like, who or what's the
source of this information? Alan, is this from you? You're cited in the next
paragraph!
I will agree that the USA Today article is entertaining, though the blending
of factual information with anecdotal commutes is getting to be tiring.
Some more quips and quotes from the USA Today article:
1. "Forty minutes in the car may be the equivalent of the bubble bath"
2. "There is more to life than quality time in your car, no matter how great
your sound system is"
3. "The car is often the last refuge of smokers....California law prohibits
all smoking in workplaces, including offices, stores and restaurants." (Note
that California prohibits smoking in bars, as well. However, we do allow you
to smoke inside your own home, even in your own bubble bath!)
4. "Consumers of audio books listen to them on average 4.4 hours a week in
their cars, compared with 1.1 hours on mass transit, according to the Audio
Publishers Association." (Gotta wonder who's answering these surveys!)
On the plus side, the USA Today's graphics are pretty darned good.
Chuck Purvis
Cranky Because My Baseball Team is 24-27.
***********************************************
Charles L. Purvis, AICP
Senior Transportation Planner/Analyst
Metropolitan Transportation Commission
101 Eighth Street
Oakland, CA 94607-4700
(510) 464-7731 (office)
(510) 464-7848 (fax)
www: http://www.mtc.ca.gov/
Census WWW: http://census.mtc.ca.gov/
***********************************************
I personally thought the USA Today article was informative, if not unbiased.
As a journalistic end, I believe objective reporting is an elusive, if not
unattainable goal. About all that can be expected is that information will
be presented that documents a significant event or social trend. In this
sense, the USA Today article, like many of those that appear in mass-market
'news'-oriented magazines was interesting. As one who does not drive, or
car-pool, it was useful in presenting information about the lifestyle of
what appears to be a significant segment of the population. In that sense
it broadened my mental horizons.
Now to my point about mass-transit. Barring a radical change in technology,
I don't think that it will ever be a palatable alternative for most people.
I live in a small metropolitan area where bus service is the only available
mass-transportation. To cite an example from several months ago, I had to
take most of a day in order to take care of four relatively routine errands,
which required that I use the community's bus system. Even with good
connections, it required six hours, of which probably two were devoted to
the actual errands.
Which brings me to my second point (not road-rage but pedestrian-rage). I
don't know if it's typical of other communities, but the behavior of
motorists towards pedestrians is rude in the extreme--from parking in bus
stops to practically running you over when crossing a street. The precedent
can be found in the Middle Ages, when knights were the only people with
horses, and the peasantry was forced to walk. The horse gave the 5 percent
of the population who had one the freedom to splash mud on whoever they
chose. The only difference now is that 95 percent of the population with
vehicles has the luxury to be rude, and the other five percent who don't
have to put up with it.
So to my final point, to all of you knights (and ladies) of the road, enjoy
your commute to work, and please show some consideration to those who don't
drive and have either to walk or depend on public transportation. Be
grateful to the freedom that the automobile has given you, and be
considerate enough to use it responsibly.
There--I got it off my chest--I feel better.
Don Vest
City of Pueblo CO Dept. of Planning & Development
-----Original Message-----
From: owner-ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net [mailto:owner-ctpp-news@chrispy.net]On
Behalf Of Tom Reinauer
Sent: Friday, May 31, 2002 7:06 AM
To: Chuck Purvis; ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
Subject: Re: [CTPP] USA Today article on drive alone commute (long post)
The mistake on the 1990 figure for the San Fran metro area I consider a
minor problem compared to one-sided stories (depending on the intent of a
particular article) or the misinterpretation and/or misunderstanding of the
data.
Wait until local and national newspapers start delving into more detailed
statistics. I suspect that even with careful explanation from planners, it
will often be twisted and hardly helpful.
Content because my baseball team is 35-15.
Tom Reinauer, Transportation Director
Southern Maine RPC
21 Bradeen St. Suite 304
Springvale, ME 04083
(207)324-2952
FAX -2958
treinauer(a)server.eddmaine.org
www.smrpc.maine.org
----- Original Message -----
From: "Chuck Purvis" <CPurvis(a)mtc.ca.gov>
To: <ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net>
Sent: Thursday, May 30, 2002 7:21 PM
Subject: [CTPP] USA Today article on drive alone commute (long post)
> TO: CTPP-News
>
> Here's the link to today's USA Today article on driving alone in America.
Of course, the Census Bureau hasn't yet released data for nine states and
Puerto Rico (which are due out next week.) My bet is that Michigan (data not
yet released) is still the #1 state in terms of drive alone share of total
commute!
>
> http://www.usatoday.com/money/covers/2002-05-30-driving-alone.htm
>
> By the way, my old web site has 1990 data on state-level commute-to-work
shares, at:
>
> http://home.earthlink.net/~clpurvis/metrodat/
>
> and, more specifically:
>
> http://home.earthlink.net/~clpurvis/metrodat/statec5.htm
>
> Reading this USA Today article reminds me of a book that I just read - -
"Damn Lies and Statistics: Untangling Numbers from the Media, Politicians
and Activists" by Joel Best, UC Press, 2001. Recommended reading. Excellent
for critical thinking about the statistics that media and others use.
>
> Which brings me to my point about lies and statistics in the USA Today
article. I'll try to be brief.
>
> 1. USA Today states that the drive alone commute share in the San
Francisco metro area declined from 73 percent in 1990 to 68 percent in 2000.
The 2000 figure is accurate at 68.0 percent. On the other hand, our 1990
drive alone commute share was 68.2 percent. So, our overall drive alone
commute share declined from 68.2 percent to 68.0 percent. (This is nice, but
not "wow"!)
>
> 2. USA Today claims that "Many transportation officials, planners and
environmentalists have concluded that carpooling lanes don't help reduce
traffic." Well, this is pretty shaky journalism. Like, who or what's the
source of this information? Alan, is this from you? You're cited in the next
paragraph!
>
> I will agree that the USA Today article is entertaining, though the
blending of factual information with anecdotal commutes is getting to be
tiring.
>
> Some more quips and quotes from the USA Today article:
>
> 1. "Forty minutes in the car may be the equivalent of the bubble bath"
> 2. "There is more to life than quality time in your car, no matter how
great your sound system is"
> 3. "The car is often the last refuge of smokers....California law
prohibits all smoking in workplaces, including offices, stores and
restaurants." (Note that California prohibits smoking in bars, as well.
However, we do allow you to smoke inside your own home, even in your own
bubble bath!)
> 4. "Consumers of audio books listen to them on average 4.4 hours a week in
their cars, compared with 1.1 hours on mass transit, according to the Audio
Publishers Association." (Gotta wonder who's answering these surveys!)
>
> On the plus side, the USA Today's graphics are pretty darned good.
>
> Chuck Purvis
> Cranky Because My Baseball Team is 24-27.
>
> ***********************************************
> Charles L. Purvis, AICP
> Senior Transportation Planner/Analyst
> Metropolitan Transportation Commission
> 101 Eighth Street
> Oakland, CA 94607-4700
> (510) 464-7731 (office)
> (510) 464-7848 (fax)
> www: http://www.mtc.ca.gov/
> Census WWW: http://census.mtc.ca.gov/
> ***********************************************
It appears to me that Dougherty (below) was stating that the farther out one moves from the urban core, the less likely it is that vehicles are heading downtown (even on roadways heading downtown).
(The multitude of destinations makes carpooling difficult.)
This has nothing to do with the total density of vehicles on the roadways in question; it simply has to do with where they are headed.
"As development spreads out across the region, the density of travel along a particular route downtown decreases and the opportunities for ride-sharing go down," said Dougherty, who works on transportation issues in the Philadelphia region. "That's another problem of suburban sprawl."
Have a good weekend.
Rob
Robert B. Case, PE, PTOE
Principal Transportation Engineer
Hampton Roads Planning District Commission
723 Woodlake Dr., Chesapeake, Va. 23320
voice:757-420-8300; fax:757-523-4881
rcase(a)hrpdc.org
Don't any of you guys know about the specialized voice recognition
software that the media uses? Say you give a 10-word answer to a
reporter's question. The program than generates all 10-factorial word
combinations and runs them through what cynics might call the
Sensationalism Index.
More seriously, don't waste time worrying about "careful explanations" to
reporters (unless it's going out live). Like you, reporters have a chain
of command to answer to. Refer them to whichever Census field office you
never deal with and enjoy your "day off" from the media's glare.
Sam Granato
Ohio DOT, Office of Technical Services
1980 W. Broad Street, Columbus, OH 43223
Phone: 614-644-6796, Fax: 614-752-8646
"We don't see things as they are, we see them as we are." Anais Nin
"Alan E. Pisarski" <PISARSKI(a)ix.netcom.com>
Sent by: owner-ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
05/31/02 11:48 AM
To: "Tom Reinauer" <treinauer(a)edd.uct.usm.maine.edu>, "Chuck Purvis"
<CPurvis(a)mtc.ca.gov>, <ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net>
cc:
Subject: Re: [CTPP] USA Today article on drive alone commute (long post)
Chuck: re your questions: I noticed the 90 boo boo (I AM ASTONISHED AT
THE
FACT THAT LA AND SF ARE ALMOST IDENTICAL TO 90 IN MODE SHARE - LIKE
SOMEONE
MADE IT UP) When I cited these data to Larry Dahms - he considered it a
moral victory if 2000 shares stayed at 90 levels.
No I wasn't the source re the carpooling citation.
Yes I'll bet that Michigan especially Detroit will "win" the SOV
sweepstakes
again.
I always ask reporters where they get these anecdotal commuters from.
There
must be a secret file somewhere of the longest commuters, etc. It all
comes
from reporting 101 where they tell them to make it a human interest
story.
In the case of Haya El Nasser, who is a very competent analyst, she was
led
to this story instead of the standard national trends story by the many
anecdotal responses she got describing the positives of commuting solo. I
get it also from people on talk shows - but what a sample is people who
call
in to talk shows, or listen to them - or talk on them - like me. A lot of
it
these days is NPR talk shows. AEP
----- Original Message -----
From: Tom Reinauer <treinauer(a)edd.uct.usm.maine.edu>
To: Chuck Purvis <CPurvis(a)mtc.ca.gov>; <ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net>
Sent: Friday, May 31, 2002 9:05 AM
Subject: Re: [CTPP] USA Today article on drive alone commute (long post)
> The mistake on the 1990 figure for the San Fran metro area I consider a
> minor problem compared to one-sided stories (depending on the intent of
a
> particular article) or the misinterpretation and/or misunderstanding of
the
> data.
> Wait until local and national newspapers start delving into more
detailed
> statistics. I suspect that even with careful explanation from planners,
it
> will often be twisted and hardly helpful.
> Content because my baseball team is 35-15.
>
> Tom Reinauer, Transportation Director
> Southern Maine RPC
> 21 Bradeen St. Suite 304
> Springvale, ME 04083
> (207)324-2952
> FAX -2958
> treinauer(a)server.eddmaine.org
> www.smrpc.maine.org
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Chuck Purvis" <CPurvis(a)mtc.ca.gov>
> To: <ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net>
> Sent: Thursday, May 30, 2002 7:21 PM
> Subject: [CTPP] USA Today article on drive alone commute (long post)
>
>
> > TO: CTPP-News
> >
> > Here's the link to today's USA Today article on driving alone in
America.
> Of course, the Census Bureau hasn't yet released data for nine states
and
> Puerto Rico (which are due out next week.) My bet is that Michigan (data
not
> yet released) is still the #1 state in terms of drive alone share of
total
> commute!
> >
> > http://www.usatoday.com/money/covers/2002-05-30-driving-alone.htm
> >
> > By the way, my old web site has 1990 data on state-level
commute-to-work
> shares, at:
> >
> > http://home.earthlink.net/~clpurvis/metrodat/
> >
> > and, more specifically:
> >
> > http://home.earthlink.net/~clpurvis/metrodat/statec5.htm
> >
> > Reading this USA Today article reminds me of a book that I just read -
-
> "Damn Lies and Statistics: Untangling Numbers from the Media,
Politicians
> and Activists" by Joel Best, UC Press, 2001. Recommended reading.
Excellent
> for critical thinking about the statistics that media and others use.
> >
> > Which brings me to my point about lies and statistics in the USA Today
> article. I'll try to be brief.
> >
> > 1. USA Today states that the drive alone commute share in the San
> Francisco metro area declined from 73 percent in 1990 to 68 percent in
2000.
> The 2000 figure is accurate at 68.0 percent. On the other hand, our 1990
> drive alone commute share was 68.2 percent. So, our overall drive alone
> commute share declined from 68.2 percent to 68.0 percent. (This is nice,
but
> not "wow"!)
> >
> > 2. USA Today claims that "Many transportation officials, planners and
> environmentalists have concluded that carpooling lanes don't help reduce
> traffic." Well, this is pretty shaky journalism. Like, who or what's the
> source of this information? Alan, is this from you? You're cited in the
next
> paragraph!
> >
> > I will agree that the USA Today article is entertaining, though the
> blending of factual information with anecdotal commutes is getting to be
> tiring.
> >
> > Some more quips and quotes from the USA Today article:
> >
> > 1. "Forty minutes in the car may be the equivalent of the bubble bath"
> > 2. "There is more to life than quality time in your car, no matter how
> great your sound system is"
> > 3. "The car is often the last refuge of smokers....California law
> prohibits all smoking in workplaces, including offices, stores and
> restaurants." (Note that California prohibits smoking in bars, as well.
> However, we do allow you to smoke inside your own home, even in your own
> bubble bath!)
> > 4. "Consumers of audio books listen to them on average 4.4 hours a
week
in
> their cars, compared with 1.1 hours on mass transit, according to the
Audio
> Publishers Association." (Gotta wonder who's answering these surveys!)
> >
> > On the plus side, the USA Today's graphics are pretty darned good.
> >
> > Chuck Purvis
> > Cranky Because My Baseball Team is 24-27.
> >
> > ***********************************************
> > Charles L. Purvis, AICP
> > Senior Transportation Planner/Analyst
> > Metropolitan Transportation Commission
> > 101 Eighth Street
> > Oakland, CA 94607-4700
> > (510) 464-7731 (office)
> > (510) 464-7848 (fax)
> > www: http://www.mtc.ca.gov/
> > Census WWW: http://census.mtc.ca.gov/
> > ***********************************************
>