APPROPRIATORS SPARE CENSUS BUREAU FROM DEEP CUTS
A House and Senate conference committee agreed last Thursday to give the
Census Bureau $812.237 million in Fiscal Year 2006, rejecting a much
lower funding level adopted by the U.S. Senate in September. The Census
Bureau received enough money to continue fielding the American Community
Survey (ACS) for a second year and to add group quarters to the survey
for the first time.
The 2006 Census Field Test, scheduled for next year in Travis County,
Texas, and on the Cheyenne River Sioux Indian Reservation, South Dakota,
also is likely to proceed, although original plans could be scaled
back. Congress cut roughly $10 million from the amount requested for
2010 census redesign activities.
The conference version of H.R. 2862, the Fiscal Year 2006 Science,
State, Justice, Commerce, and Related Agencies Appropriations Act,
adopts the funding level approved by the House of Representatives in
June. That amount is still $65 million less than President Bush
requested for the fiscal year that started October 1, 2005. The House
Appropriations Committee originally cut $45 million from the President's
budget, $25 million of which was earmarked for expenses related to the
Census Bureau's new headquarters building in Suitland, MD. The full
House cut an additional $10 million from 2010 census planning activities
and $10 million from the Salaries and Expenses account to pay for
anti-drug programs in the Justice Department.
In the conference report (H.Rept. 109-272), appropriators instructed the
bureau to proceed with plans for the ACS and for updating the master
address list and digital mapping system (TIGER) as proposed in the
President's original budget. Within 60 days, the agency must submit a
financial operating plan outlining how it will spend it FY06 funds.
Lawmakers urged the Census Bureau to take steps to reduce the number of
personal visits in its surveys, noting the high cost associated with
field follow-up activities. With regard to ongoing research into ACS
methods, conferees told the bureau to streamline data collection as much
as possible and to ensure that survey questions are easy to understand.
Conferees commended the bureau for working with stakeholders to ensure
an accurate count of Hispanic subgroups and for considering ways to
include the population of Puerto Rico when reporting data on the United
States. The conference bill includes language, first adopted last year,
barring the Census Bureau from dropping the Some other race option
from the race question.
The Census Bureau must also submit a report to Congress within 90 days,
on the possibility of counting prisoners at their permanent homes of
record, instead of at their place of incarceration. Under current
census residence rules, inmates are counted at the prison or jail in
which they are held.
The bureau's Salaries and Expenses account, which funds ongoing economic
and demographic data collection activities, received about $198 million,
the amount approved by the House. Conferees highlighted their interest
in several trade reports and requested a one-time report on 2005
domestic sock production.
The House and Senate will vote separately on the conference bill, which
cannot be amended, before the current Continuing Funding Resolution
expires on November 18. The measure will then be sent to the President
for his signature (or veto).
In related news of interest to many census data users, appropriators
allocated roughly $76.3 million for the Commerce Department's Bureau of
Economic Analysis, $5 million less than the President requested. BEA, a
part of the Economics and Statistics Administration, publishes key
measures of the economy, including Gross Domestic Product.
Former Census directors weigh in: In a letter last week to conferees,
three former Census Bureau directors hailed the ACS as a cost-effective
innovation that provides detailed and timely information relevant to
effective government and a program that will benefit the country
disproportionately to the costs involved. Barbara Everitt Bryant
(1989-92), Martha Farnsworth Riche (1992-97), and Kenneth Prewitt
(1998-2000) also warned that inadequate field testing would put the 2010
census at risk. The directors urged Congress to reach a clear
understanding [with the Commerce Department] about what the nation needs
and can afford for the 2010 decennial census.
The directors letter was circulated to all House members by Federalism
and the Census Subcommittee Chairman Michael Turner (R-OH), Ranking
Minority Member Wm. Lacy Clay (D-MO), and member Carolyn Maloney (D-NY).
(Formated table attached)
Census News Briefs are prepared by Terri Ann Lowenthal, an independent
consultant in Washington, DC, with support from The Annie E. Casey
Foundation and other organizations. Ms. Lowenthal is also a consultant
to The Census Project, sponsored by the Communications Consortium Media
Center. All views expressed in the News Briefs are solely those of the
author. Please direct questions about the information in this News
Brief to Ms. Lowenthal at 202/484-3067 or by e-mail at
TerriAnn2K(a)aol.com. Please feel free to circulate this document to
other interested individuals and organizations.
--
Ed Christopher
Resource Center Planning Team
Federal Highway Administration
19900 Governors Drive
Olympia Fields, Illinois 60461
708-283-3534 (V) 708-574-8131 (cell)
708-283-3501 (F)
-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Census funding update: GOOD NEWS!
Date: Fri, 4 Nov 2005 16:06:07 EST
From: Terriann2K(a)aol.com
Hello, census stakeholders. News has trickled out from the House-Senate
conference committee which yesterday considered the Census Bureau's
Fiscal Year 2006 appropriations bill. Congressional sources tell me,
and the Associated Press is reporting, that conferees agreed to the
House-passed funding level of roughly $812.2 million. We do not have any
additional details. Conferees are expected to file their joint report
on Monday. The report should contain more detail on how (if) the funds
are broken down by account (Periodic Censuses and Programs, and Salaries
and Expenses) and activity. It also might include directives, such as a
request for a report on alternative ways to count prisoners in the
census (as the House included in its report). The apparent conference
figure is still $65 million below the President's budget request, so the
Census Bureau must determine how it will carry out its plans within this
budget. Good work, everyone. There is no question in my mind that the
focused effort of stakeholders, to let legislators know the importance
of Census Bureau data, pushed the outcome in the right direction. Terri
Ann Terri Ann Lowenthal
Legislative & Policy Consultant
1250 4th St., SW
Apt. W615
Washington, DC 20024
(tel.) 202-484-3067
(cell) 202-258-2425
TerriAnn2K(a)aol.com
***************************
The Census Bureau recently issued "Daytime population" estimates using Census 2000 data
(See http://www.census.gov/population/www/socdemo/daytime/daytimepop.html).
These estimates include:
a. Workers who go to work, no matter where they live, and no matter what time they travel to work.
b. Residents of an area who are not workers, including everyone who is below 16, and
c. Everyone else who is not a worker, including employed people who did not go to work in the reference period.
For each Place (i.e. city) and County, a ratio of total workers to resident workers is calculated. So, places with high in-movements of workers are distinguished from places with high out-movements of workers. For example, Washington, D.C. and Bethesda, Maryland, have high in-movements of workers.
The Census Bureau recognizes that this is an elementary measure as it doesn't address travel for all trip purposes, only work-related travel. The estimates do not address:
Children going to school.
Workers who leave for work late in the day and work in the evening
Leaving home for other purposes like shopping, social or recreational trips.
Special attractors: universities, hospitals, entertainment centers, regional shopping centers.
Absenteeism from work (vacation, illness, etc).
It assumes that people who are not workers, including all people under age 16, and all retired people without jobs, do not leave their residence place or county. So, it is going to be a low estimate for some places, and high for others.
The level of geographic reporting is all states and counties, and selected places (those with either 2,500 resident workers or total workers). Using CTPP 2000, you can do a similar calculation for any other geography (e.g.: Census Tracts or TAZ or CBD) by:
Daytime population in any geography = CTPP Table 1-047 (total population) MINUS first column in CTPP Table 1-001 (total workers living in an the area) PLUS first column in CTPP Table 2-001 (total workers working in the area)
Why the CB's Daytime Population Estimates will not be exactly the same as results using CTPP 2000:
1. CTPP 2000 values are rounded (4, and then multiples of 5), while the CB's county and place daytime estimates are not rounded.
2. The CTPP 2000 workplace locations are tabulated after "extended workplace allocation" was completed, which assigns work locations using industry, occupation, travel mode and travel time to workers for whom a workplace location was incomplete or missing. The CB's daytime population estimates do not use the extended allocation results.
3. The CB calculation used the 100 percent count as its total population figure. This may be different than the sample count shown in Table 1-047 of CTPP 2000 Part 1, particularly for places (counties should be the same).
For the United States as a whole:
About 46 percent of all persons were workers who went to work, so they are assigned to their workplace location.
About 23 percent of all persons are under age 16, so they are assigned to their home location.
About 28 percent of all persons over age 16 were not in the labor force, so they are assigned to their home location. Of these people NOT in the labor force, about 40 percent are over age 65.
About 3 percent of all persons over age 16 were unemployed, so they are assigned to their home location.
Just be aware of the limitations of these estimates if you plan to use them!
Thank you!
Elaine Murakami and Nanda Srinivasan
Apologies for cross-posting
********
FHWA is re-advertising for a GS 14 position on the NPTS (National Personal Travel Survey) project. Duties include:
- making recommendations regarding survey design, content, methodology, operations, dataset development and user interface
- maintaining effective working relationships with survey sponsors, states and MPOs, national organizations, survey contractors and a large and diverse group of survey users
- analyzing travel behavior trends, and
- assuming some project management duties.
You do not have to be a current or former federal employee to apply for this job. Salary range is $88,369 to $114,882. The position is located in Washington, DC.
For more information or to apply go to: http://jobsearch.usajobs.opm.gov/a9fhwa.asp
click on Washington DC, and look for job announcement FHWA.HPL-2006-0004.
********
Nanda Srinivasan (on behalf of Susan Liss, Program Manager, NPTS, FHWA)
CONFERENCE COMMITTEE LIKELY TO
CONSIDER CENSUS FUNDING THIS WEEK
Plus: More Census Stakeholders Weigh In on Funding Debate;
Senate Approves Adding New Question To the ACS
A House and Senate conference committee is scheduled to meet tomorrow to
iron out differences between two versions of the Fiscal Year 2006
funding bill that covers the Census Bureau, according to Capitol Hill
sources. The tentative schedule calls for the U.S. House of
Representatives to appoint members to the conference committee today;
the U.S. Senate appointed its conferees in September. Conferees would
start meeting on November 3 and complete their negotiations in time to
file a conference report in each chamber early next week. The House
and Senate would then vote separately on the final bill, which cannot be
amended, later in the week. If both chambers approve the conference
bill, the measure will be sent to the President for his signature or
veto.
The Appropriations panels involved in the conference are the House
Subcommittee on Science, State, Justice, and Commerce and the Senate
Subcommittee on Commerce, Justice, and Science. Traditionally, all
members of those subcommittees serve as conferees.
The House allocated $65 million less for the Census Bureau than
President Bush requested for Fiscal Year 2006 (FY06), while the Senate
approved $150 million less than the President requested and $17 million
less than the Fiscal Year 2005 funding level.
(Formated table attached)
Potentially complicating the funding picture for the Census Bureau, the
House Appropriations Committee is meeting today to revise the amount of
money allocated to each of its twelve spending panels at the start of
the FY06 budget process last spring. The so-called 302(b)
allocations, named after a provision of the 1974 Congressional Budget
Act, set spending ceilings for each appropriations account, every fiscal
year. Within those ceilings, each appropriations subcommittee must fund
the wide range of federal programs under its jurisdiction. A lower
allocation for the Science, State, Justice, and Commerce Subcommittee
would further squeeze the amount of money available for Census Bureau
programs.
Secretary of Commerce Carlos Gutierrez wrote to appropriators on October
27, to highlight programs in the Commerce funding bill that are a
priority for the department. The secretary asked conferees to allocate
no less than the House mark for the Census Bureau, saying that the
Senate funding level would eliminate the American Community Survey and
require the more costly and less useful Long Form in the 2010 census,
at an additional cost of more then $1 billion. The investments
Congress has made over the last ten years to modernize the Census and
develop the American Community Survey would be lost, Secretary
Gutierrez wrote. The Census Bureau is part of the Economics and
Statistics Administration within the Department of Commerce.
Important census data at risk, stakeholders tell Congress: Stakeholders
who rely on census data for planning, program development and
evaluation, resource investment decisions, service delivery, and grant
applications continued to urge Congress to preserve Census Bureau
programs in FY06 (which began October 1st). State and local
governments, businesses and industry groups, scientific associations,
non-profit and civil rights organizations, in a wave of letters to
appropriations panel members, called on legislators to allocate
sufficient funds for the American Community Survey (ACS), 2010 census
tests, and other demographic surveys and economic data programs. Some
highlighted the need for information on populations and communities
affected by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.
Louisiana Governor Kathleen Blanco wrote that the ACS was an important
federal tool for making prudent investment decisions to help more than
one million residents displaced by the hurricanes. Rep. Tom Davis
(R-VA), chairman of the Government Reform Committee, and Rep. Michael
Turner (R-OH), chairman of the panels Subcommittee on Federalism and
the Census, asked Speaker Dennis Hastert to support temporarily
expanding the ACS in the regions affected by Hurricane Katrina, to
produce detailed data every few months, at an estimated cost of $50
million. If allocations [of federal funds] are made in the absence of
timely, detailed, and accurate information, the risk is very high that
billions of dollars invested in relief and reconstruction efforts will
be ineffective, the congressmen wrote on September 23. The Population
Association of America and Associations of Population Centers continued
their outreach to Congress, saying in a letter that, Information on
occupation, educational attainment, English language proficiency,
housing conditions, and many other important topics will help officials
create conditions and services needed to support successful community
rebuilding in the aftermath of the storms.
New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg said that his city uses ACS data
for transportation, housing, education and community development
planning, and that without the survey, decision makers in both the
public and private sectors will lose a valuable tool for deciphering
emerging trends in American life. The U.S. Conference of Mayors wrote
that the Senate funding level is not enough to employ the latest
innovations and improved counting techniques that will help ensure a
more accurate count in the 2010 census.
Highlighting the importance of economic data in its second letter to
lawmakers, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce called federal statistical
agencies highly efficient and motivated organizations that provide a
vital service to all sectors of the American economy, especially noting
decisions affecting monetary policy, business investment strategies,
trade negotiations, and household finances. Individual businesses,
including Target Corporation and JC Penney, also sent letters to the
Hill, as did the International Council of Shopping Centers. The
National Association of Business Economists urged its members to inform
Congress about the potential loss of economic data on manufactured
products, manufacturers sales and inventories, business hi-tech
equipment and software expenditures, and service industry expenses, all
funded through the Census Bureaus Salaries and Expenses account.
The National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials
(NALEO) Educational Fund expressed its concern about the future of the
ACS and 2010 census improvements several times, most recently organizing
a letter to conferees signed by 13 organizations. The stakeholder
groups noted that the Census Bureau had requested a funding increase for
the ACS because the survey will entail 12 full months of costly field
data collection in 2006, compared to only nine months during 2005, the
start-up year. Congress also failed to allocate enough funds in 2005
to include group quarters (e.g. college dorms, military barracks) in the
ACS. The letter reminded Congress that most key decisions affecting
the design and scope of the 2010 census will be made in the next year.
The diverse letter signers included the American Foundation for the
Blind, Arab American Institute Foundation, National Association of
Counties, American Jewish Committee, National Low Income Housing
Coalition, and Consortium of Social Science Associations.
Senators Susan Collins (R-ME) and Joseph Lieberman (D-CT) warned
conferees that the Senate funding level for the Census Bureau would have
dire consequences on the planned improvement for Census 2010, and will
lead to the elimination of Census programs that improve government and
businesses ability to understand and provide services to communities.
The House-passed funding level for census programs, they said, is a
small investment that can yield a mighty return, and the American people
deserve it. Sens. Collins and Lieberman are the chairman and ranking
minority member, respectively, of the Census Bureaus oversight
committee.
Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-NY), a member of the Federalism and the Census
Subcommittee, sent her House colleagues an editorial by The Washington
Post (Down for the Count, Oct. 29, 2005), which urged Congress to
accept the House-passed funding level for the Census Bureau. The
editorial noted the wide range of stakeholder groups advocating adequate
funds for the bureau and concluded that, Less useful data for more
money is a shortsighted tradeoff even in this tight budgetary
environment.
Senate bill would add new question to American Community Survey: While
appropriators deliberated 2006 spending levels for the Census Bureau,
the Senate adopted an amendment to NASAs reauthorization bill (S. 1281)
that would require the bureau to add a question to the ACS on field of
degree of college-educated individuals. The data would benefit the
National Science Foundation, according to section 153(a) of the bill.
The amendment was sponsored by Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-TX), a
member of the Appropriations Subcommittee on Commerce, Justice, and
Science and chair of the Science and Space Subcommittee of the Committee
on Commerce, Science, and Transportation. It was cosponsored by Sen.
Bill Nelson (D-FL). The Senate approved the amendment and bill on
September 28; the House version of the NASA reauthorization bill (H.R.
3070) does not include a similar provision related to the ACS.
House census staffer leaves Congress for Archives: David McMillen, a
lead congressional staff member on census and statistical issues for 14
years, has assumed the new position of External Affairs Liaison at the
National Archives. Dr. McMillen was most recently a professional staff
member for Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA), the ranking Democrat on the House
Government Reform Committee, which oversees the Census Bureau. He
previously worked on the Senate Governmental Affairs Committee in a
similar capacity, specializing in a wide range of information policy
issues including the Freedom of Information Act, Paperwork Reduction
Act, Privacy Act, and data confidentiality. Before coming to Congress,
Dr. McMillen was employed by the Census Bureau as a demographer and
statistician.
In a press release, United States Archivist Allen Weinstein said that
Dr. McMillens appointment will help the agency open the doors to
dialogue and collaboration with all of the organizations that share
interests and relationships with the National Archives. Dr. McMillen
will be the full time liaison to stakeholder and customer communities,
according to the press statement.
[Authors note: David, the entire census stakeholder community is
grateful to you for your many years of informed and tireless support of
comprehensive and accurate data. We will greatly miss your presence on
the Hill, but we know that you will continue to shine in your new
position at the National Archives. I wish you the very best on behalf
of all of my readers!]
Census News Briefs are prepared by Terri Ann Lowenthal, an independent
consultant in Washington, DC, with support from The Annie E. Casey
Foundation and other organizations. Ms. Lowenthal is also a consultant
to The Census Project, sponsored by the Communications Consortium Media
Center. All views expressed in the News Briefs are solely those of the
author. Please direct questions about the information in this News
Brief to Ms. Lowenthal at 202/484-3067 or by e-mail at
TerriAnn2K(a)aol.com. Please feel free to circulate this document to
other interested individuals and organizations.
--
Ed Christopher
708-283-3534 (V)
708-574-8131 (cell)
FHWA RC-TST-PLN
19900 Governors Dr
Olympia Fields, IL 60461
Despite the uncertainty of 2006 American Community Survey (ACS) budgeting and implementation, I am raising this query on future CTPP-like products using ACS.
For the CTPP2000, there were 2 FLOW (part 3) tables using income:
Table 3-5 Income (8 classes + total)
Table 3-7 Income (4 classes +total ) by Means of Transportation (4 classes + total)
Both of these tables were subject to the Census Bureau's Disclosure Review Board (DRB) requirement of 3 unweighted records, resulting in very high suppression of Origin/Destination pairs at the tract-to-tract (about 70 percent), and TAZ-to-TAZ (often over 80 percent) level. Because the sample size in ACS (even after 5 years of data accumulation) are expected to be perhaps 40-60 percent that of the 2000 decennial census long form sample, it will be even more difficult to reach the threshold of 3 unweighted records for flow tabulation. The CB's DRB has told us that for special tabulations (like the CTPP) "rounding and thresholds are here to stay." Right now, the next level of geography is Place (city or town), which is often too large to be meaningful. We understand that the CB plans to use PUMA as a standard tabulation unit, which could result in a very useful PUMA-to-PUMA flow table for large metropolitan areas, but since PUMAs require 100,000 population, this would be not very useful for smaller metropolitan areas.
Here are some alternatives to consider:
1. Using MEDIAN INCOME instead of a distribution. At least one person at the CB thinks that the DRB would be less concerned about this. While this might work for Table 3-5, I don't think it would work for Table 3-7, because there would be a significant probability for one record for a particular mode, e.g. transit, so that the median would be the same as the individual record.
2. Having a SuperTAZ or SuperTract new geographic unit for flow tabulations that include an income variable. How big would a SuperTAZ or SuperTract need to be? I don't know, but my guess is that it would need to be on the order of 4-5 census tracts combined. We know that if we combine only 2 tracts, it will result in approximately 70 percent of suppression, because the unweighted records would be similar in number to the CTPP 2000 tract-to-tract numbers.
3. Omit the income tables from an ACS Flow tabulation, and find another data source.
Please let me know what you think, and especially if you have ideas for alternatives.
AASHTO SCOP has convened a Census Data Working Group. It is chaired by Jonette Kreideweis of MN DOT. Information about this group was included in the August 2005 CTPP Status Report http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ctpp/sr0805.htm. AMPO and APTA have now been included as members.
Elaine Murakami
FHWA Office of Planning
206-220-4460 (Seattle)
Ed,
MY guess is that you are "on the mark" in this regard. That is the
approach that I seem to understand from what has been given below.
I received two separate inquiries back in July about the "daytime
population of downtown Minneapolis". My response was to question their
definition of "daytime population" and indicated that the only
information I had available to me was the CTPP "Journey-to-Work"
tabulations. I made it clear that this did NOT include other trip
purposes to downtown, such as shopping, non-home but work-related trips
and the like.
I suppose that as long as all regions are treated likewise, you could
at least get some comparative measurement of this information.
Bob Paddock
Transportation Research
Metropolitan Council
230 East 5th Street
St. Paul, MN 55107-1633
651 602-1340
>>> Ed Christopher <edc(a)berwyned.com> 10/20/05 11:28AM >>>
This is interesting but I wonder how it would compare or relate to
CTPP
data. From the posting I am not quite sure what the CB is including
as
daytime population. Thinking in CTPP terms I would take what I call
CTPP
Part 2 workers for any given area and add to it some portion of the
Part 1
non- workers and then sum them together as my daytime population. Do
you
think this is what the CB did?
Chuck Purvis wrote:
> This is a message sent to the State Data Center listserv this
morning,
> 10/20/05:
>
> FROM THE DESK OF STANLEY J. ROLARK
> CHIEF, CUSTOMER LIAISON OFFICE
>
> October 20, 2005
>
> Subject: Release of Census 2000 Data Product on
> Daytime Population
>
> The Census Bureau will be releasing later today or tomorrow, Census
> 2000
> data on the daytime population. The data are being released for all
> counties (or co. equivs.) by state in the U.S. There are also
subtotal
> lines for each state and for the U.S. as a whole. There are data for
> the
> municipios in Puerto Rico, and a total for Puerto Rico.
>
> There are data for places (incorp. and CDPs) in the U.S. by state,
but
> no
> place data for Puerto Rico. The universe is places with either 2,500
> workers living in the place or 2,500 workers working in the place.
>
> There will be three separate Excel files. They will be accessible
> through
> the Subjects A to Z index, from a link entitled Daytime Population.
>
> Table 1 is a summary for places by size. All places > 250,000 are
> shown,
> in three size classes. Places less than 250,000 are shown in six
> size
> classes, but only the first twenty based on percent increase in
> daytime
> pop are shown for each size in Table 1.
>
> Table 2 shows all counties by state in the U.S. and Puerto Rico.
>
> Table 3 shows places with 2,500 workers living in or working in,
by
> state, for the U.S. (not PR).
>
> The data product was developed by the Journey to Work and Migration
> Statistics Branch in Population Division. The data were developed by
> combining the Census 2000 data on the residence population with the
> Census
> 2000 sample data on place of work. The estimates of daytime
population
> to
> be released by the Census Bureau only adjust resident populations
for
> travel into or out of an area for work purposes. No adjustment is
made
> for
> travel to school, shopping, recreation, tourism, health care or for
> any
> other trip purpose. The data sources required for making these
> adjustments
> are not available on a consistent, nationwide basis. Furthermore,
the
> adjustments to resident population reflected in these "daytime"
> population
> estimates do not take the time of day work trips are made into
account.
> The
> simplifying assumption is made that all workers leave the area in
the
> morning and return to the area in the evening.
>
> The release will include data items on the number of workers working
in
> the
> area, the number of workers living in the area, the estimated
daytime
> population, the number and percent change due to commuting, the
number
> and
> percent of the workers who lived in the area that also worked in the
> area,
> and the employment-residence ratio (workers working in/workers
living
> in).
>
> The data are likely to be released with a press release but with no
> press
> embargo. While you will be receiving a copy of the press release as
> part
> of our normal procedures, I did want to provide you with a "heads
> up" about
> this release as you may receive questions and/or have an interest in
> this
> release. Census Bureau contact information regarding this release
will
> be
> included at the top of the press release.
>
> _______________________________________________
> ctpp-news mailing list
> ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
> http://www.chrispy.net/mailman/listinfo/ctpp-news
--
Ed Christopher
708-283-3534 (V)
708-574-8131 (cell)
FHWA RC-TST-PLN
19900 Governors Dr
Olympia Fields, IL 60461
_______________________________________________
ctpp-news mailing list
ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
http://www.chrispy.net/mailman/listinfo/ctpp-news
Bill,
Yes, your points are all well-taken. These are estimates based on the
Census 2000 question, "At what location did you work LAST WEEK?" and the
directions that included the following -- "If you worked at more than one
address or location, give the address or location where you worked most
LAST WEEK". As the types of nontraditional work schedules prevail, we all
will be challenged to estimate what proportion of the workers are affected
by these schedules as well as the proportions that are away from their
usual place of work because of vacation, temporary layoff, illness, etc.
Not easy tasks.
-- Celia G. Boertlein
Journey-to-Work and Migration Statistics Branch
Population Division
U.S. Bureau of the Census
Washington, DC 20233-8800
phone: (301)763-2454
fax: (301)457-2481
email: Celia.G.Boertlein(a)Census.GOV
<William.Banniste
r(a)dot.gov>
To
10/21/2005 11:14 <celia.g.boertlein(a)census.gov>,
AM <edc(a)berwyned.com>
cc
<ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net>,
<ctpp-news-bounces(a)chrispy.net>
Subject
RE: [CTPP] Release of Census 2000
Data Product on Daytime Population
Celia,
How would one account for things such as teleworking, flexible work
schedules (such as the one prevalent in the Federal government that
results in workers having a day off every other week), and other
non-traditional work issues in determining the daytime population? As
these types of work schedules become more and more prevalent for
reducing congestion, personal preferences, etc. it would seem that
daytime population estimates would have greater and greater variance.
Bill Bannister
Assistant Director, Office of Advanced Studies
Bureau of Transportation Statistics
Research and Innovative Technology Administration
U.S. Department of Transportation
-----Original Message-----
From: ctpp-news-bounces(a)chrispy.net
[mailto:ctpp-news-bounces@chrispy.net] On Behalf Of
celia.g.boertlein(a)census.gov
Sent: Thursday, October 20, 2005 4:20 PM
To: Ed Christopher
Cc: ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net; ctpp-news-bounces(a)chrispy.net
Subject: Re: [CTPP] Release of Census 2000 Data Product on Daytime
Population
Ed,
The Census Bureau's estimate of daytime population only adjusts for
work-related travel, i.e., incommuters to an area and outcommuters from
an
area. Data necessary to adjust for shopping, school, recreation,
tourism,
etc. are not available. Non-workers are assumed to stay within the area
of
their residence.
Counts of workers working in counties (or equivalents) are consistent
with
CTPP counts in Part 2 and the county-to-county worker flow files.
Counts
of workers working in places in the daytime population file are not
fully
consistent with those shown in the CTPP, due to the extended allocation
process used in the CTPP products.
-- Celia G. Boertlein
Journey-to-Work and Migration Statistics Branch
Population Division
U.S. Bureau of the Census
Washington, DC 20233-8800
phone: (301)763-2454
fax: (301)457-2481
email: Celia.G.Boertlein(a)Census.GOV
Ed Christopher
<edc(a)berwyned.co
m>
To
Sent by: ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
ctpp-news-bounce
cc
s(a)chrispy.net
Subject
Re: [CTPP] Release of Census 2000
10/20/2005 12:28 Data Product on Daytime Population
PM
This is interesting but I wonder how it would compare or relate to CTPP
data. From the posting I am not quite sure what the CB is including as
daytime population. Thinking in CTPP terms I would take what I call
CTPP
Part 2 workers for any given area and add to it some portion of the Part
1
non- workers and then sum them together as my daytime population. Do
you
think this is what the CB did?
Chuck Purvis wrote:
> This is a message sent to the State Data Center listserv this morning,
> 10/20/05:
>
> FROM THE DESK OF STANLEY J. ROLARK
> CHIEF, CUSTOMER LIAISON OFFICE
>
> October 20, 2005
>
> Subject: Release of Census 2000 Data Product on
> Daytime Population
>
> The Census Bureau will be releasing later today or tomorrow, Census
> 2000
> data on the daytime population. The data are being released for all
> counties (or co. equivs.) by state in the U.S. There are also subtotal
> lines for each state and for the U.S. as a whole. There are data for
> the
> municipios in Puerto Rico, and a total for Puerto Rico.
>
> There are data for places (incorp. and CDPs) in the U.S. by state, but
> no
> place data for Puerto Rico. The universe is places with either 2,500
> workers living in the place or 2,500 workers working in the place.
>
> There will be three separate Excel files. They will be accessible
> through
> the Subjects A to Z index, from a link entitled Daytime Population.
>
> Table 1 is a summary for places by size. All places > 250,000 are
> shown,
> in three size classes. Places less than 250,000 are shown in six
> size
> classes, but only the first twenty based on percent increase in
> daytime
> pop are shown for each size in Table 1.
>
> Table 2 shows all counties by state in the U.S. and Puerto Rico.
>
> Table 3 shows places with 2,500 workers living in or working in, by
> state, for the U.S. (not PR).
>
> The data product was developed by the Journey to Work and Migration
> Statistics Branch in Population Division. The data were developed by
> combining the Census 2000 data on the residence population with the
> Census
> 2000 sample data on place of work. The estimates of daytime population
> to
> be released by the Census Bureau only adjust resident populations for
> travel into or out of an area for work purposes. No adjustment is made
> for
> travel to school, shopping, recreation, tourism, health care or for
> any
> other trip purpose. The data sources required for making these
> adjustments
> are not available on a consistent, nationwide basis. Furthermore, the
> adjustments to resident population reflected in these "daytime"
> population
> estimates do not take the time of day work trips are made into
account.
> The
> simplifying assumption is made that all workers leave the area in the
> morning and return to the area in the evening.
>
> The release will include data items on the number of workers working
in
> the
> area, the number of workers living in the area, the estimated daytime
> population, the number and percent change due to commuting, the number
> and
> percent of the workers who lived in the area that also worked in the
> area,
> and the employment-residence ratio (workers working in/workers living
> in).
>
> The data are likely to be released with a press release but with no
> press
> embargo. While you will be receiving a copy of the press release as
> part
> of our normal procedures, I did want to provide you with a "heads
> up" about
> this release as you may receive questions and/or have an interest in
> this
> release. Census Bureau contact information regarding this release
will
> be
> included at the top of the press release.
>
> _______________________________________________
> ctpp-news mailing list
> ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
> http://www.chrispy.net/mailman/listinfo/ctpp-news
--
Ed Christopher
708-283-3534 (V)
708-574-8131 (cell)
FHWA RC-TST-PLN
19900 Governors Dr
Olympia Fields, IL 60461
_______________________________________________
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This is a message sent to the State Data Center listserv this morning,
10/20/05:
FROM THE DESK OF STANLEY J. ROLARK
CHIEF, CUSTOMER LIAISON OFFICE
October 20, 2005
Subject: Release of Census 2000 Data Product on
Daytime Population
The Census Bureau will be releasing later today or tomorrow, Census
2000
data on the daytime population. The data are being released for all
counties (or co. equivs.) by state in the U.S. There are also subtotal
lines for each state and for the U.S. as a whole. There are data for
the
municipios in Puerto Rico, and a total for Puerto Rico.
There are data for places (incorp. and CDPs) in the U.S. by state, but
no
place data for Puerto Rico. The universe is places with either 2,500
workers living in the place or 2,500 workers working in the place.
There will be three separate Excel files. They will be accessible
through
the Subjects A to Z index, from a link entitled Daytime Population.
Table 1 is a summary for places by size. All places > 250,000 are
shown,
in three size classes. Places less than 250,000 are shown in six
size
classes, but only the first twenty based on percent increase in
daytime
pop are shown for each size in Table 1.
Table 2 shows all counties by state in the U.S. and Puerto Rico.
Table 3 shows places with 2,500 workers living in or working in, by
state, for the U.S. (not PR).
The data product was developed by the Journey to Work and Migration
Statistics Branch in Population Division. The data were developed by
combining the Census 2000 data on the residence population with the
Census
2000 sample data on place of work. The estimates of daytime population
to
be released by the Census Bureau only adjust resident populations for
travel into or out of an area for work purposes. No adjustment is made
for
travel to school, shopping, recreation, tourism, health care or for
any
other trip purpose. The data sources required for making these
adjustments
are not available on a consistent, nationwide basis. Furthermore, the
adjustments to resident population reflected in these "daytime"
population
estimates do not take the time of day work trips are made into account.
The
simplifying assumption is made that all workers leave the area in the
morning and return to the area in the evening.
The release will include data items on the number of workers working in
the
area, the number of workers living in the area, the estimated daytime
population, the number and percent change due to commuting, the number
and
percent of the workers who lived in the area that also worked in the
area,
and the employment-residence ratio (workers working in/workers living
in).
The data are likely to be released with a press release but with no
press
embargo. While you will be receiving a copy of the press release as
part
of our normal procedures, I did want to provide you with a "heads
up" about
this release as you may receive questions and/or have an interest in
this
release. Census Bureau contact information regarding this release will
be
included at the top of the press release.
CENSUS DATA WIDELY USED IN NEW ORLEANS AREA
Plus: ACS and Census Long Form Could Be At Risk,
Census Bureau Says
A wide range of census data was in heavy demand in the days and weeks
after Hurricane Katrina ravaged much of New Orleans, a representative of
the Greater New Orleans Community Data Center told a gathering of
stakeholders at a Washington policy briefing last Friday. Denice
Warren, herself an evacuee from New Orleans, participated in a forum
sponsored by The Brookings Institution on how proposed funding cuts
would affect key Census Bureau programs. The American Community Survey
(ACS), key tests for the 2010 census, and several other widely-used
economic and demographic surveys could be scaled back or canceled under
the Fiscal Year 2006 (FY06) funding level approved last month by the
U.S. Senate.
Ms. Warren said the GNOCDC tracked visits to its web site
(www.gnocdc.org), which features data tables and maps on important
neighborhood characteristics, including poverty, educational attainment,
transportation, employment, housing, and immigration. For the first
half of 2005, the web site received roughly 5,000 hits per month. That
number jumped to 40,000 in August and 80,000 in September, suggesting
that public officials, relief organizations, and the media relied
heavily on data (much of it derived directly or indirectly from the
Census Bureau) to assess the consequences of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita
and to help plan recovery efforts.
The forum also featured remarks by Dr. William OHare, KIDS COUNT
Program Coordinator, The Annie E. Casey Foundation; James Eskew,
Assistant Director, Cushman & Wakefield Client Solutions, which helps
businesses make informed location decisions; and Dr. William Frey,
Visiting Fellow, Metropolitan Policy Program, The Brookings
Institution. Dr. OHare noted that public and private sector data
users have invested a great deal of time and money in preparing to use
American Community Survey estimates, and that a once-a-decade model for
collecting information ignores how quickly modern society is
changing. Dr. Frey also warned that collecting detailed socio-economic
data once-a-decade fails to recognize the dynamic nature of 21st
century America. Mr. Eskew highlighted how census data are the
foundation for analyzing and comparing local economies when businesses
are looking to build new headquarters, plants, or stores. The four
Brookings forum presentations are available at:
http://www.brookings.edu/metro/umi/20051014_censusfundingFY2006.htm
(scroll down to the bottom of the gray box).
Census funding update: With 2006 funding and the future of the American
Community Survey still uncertain, The Washington Post reported last
Friday that the Census Bureau is floating the idea of a 2010 census
with only a short-form population and race count that would provide the
data needed for congressional apportionment and redistricting, even if
it stops the ACS after this year (The Washington Post, 10/14/05, The
Federal Page). The bureau could consider such a scenario if Congress
fails to provide enough money to continue the ACS in 2006 and if money
is tight, the Post article said. Census Bureau officials told the
newspaper, as well as congressional appropriators, that suspending the
ACS and planning for a 2000-style census in 2010 would add $1.3 billion
to the estimated $11.3 billion lifecycle cost of the next count.
Census Bureau Director C. Louis Kincannon told the Post that a FY06
funding level materially below the House mark of $812.2 million would
spell trouble for key agency programs and plans, including the ACS,
automated data collection in the 2010 census, and the 2006 Census Field
Test in Travis County, Texas, and on the Cheyenne River Sioux Indian
Reservation in South Dakota. The Senate allocated $727.4 million for
the Census Bureau, $150 million less than President Bush requested and
$17 million below the 2005 funding level.
The Washington Post article also quotes a spokeswoman for Sen. Richard
Shelby (R-AL), Virginia Davis, as saying: Senator Shelby recognizes the
important work being done by the Census Bureau, but he believes that we
must balance that with the tight budget constraints that Congress is
facing. Sen. Shelby chairs the Appropriations Subcommittee on
Commerce, Justice, and Science; he did not chair the subcommittee with
responsibility for Census Bureau funding in the last Congress. Dan
Scandling, a spokesman for Rep. Frank Wolf (R-VA), who chairs the
Appropriations Subcommittee on Science, State, Justice, and Commerce,
told the Post that House members will push to keep [the Census Bureaus
budget] at House levels. (Note: The House and Senate Appropriations
Subcommittees with responsibility for funding the Commerce Departments
Census Bureau no longer have fully comparable jurisdictions.)
Appropriations conferees: The U.S. Senate appointed conferees last
month to negotiate a final spending bill that includes the Census
Bureau. All members of the Appropriations Subcommittee on Commerce,
Justice, and Science are conferees. Please see the March 11, 2005,
Census News Brief posted at www.thecensusproject.org for a list of
subcommittee members.
The House of Representatives has not formally appointed its conferees,
but according to tradition, all members of the Subcommittee on Science,
State, Justice, and Commerce will likely serve on the conference
committee. Please see the February 24 Census News Brief for a list of
panel members.
Census News Briefs are prepared by Terri Ann Lowenthal, an independent
consultant in Washington, DC, with support from The Annie E. Casey
Foundation and other organizations. Ms. Lowenthal is also a consultant
to The Census Project, sponsored by the Communications Consortium Media
Center. All views expressed in the News Briefs are solely those of the
author. Please direct questions about the information in this News
Brief to Ms. Lowenthal at 202/484-3067 or by e-mail at
TerriAnn2K(a)aol.com. Please feel free to circulate this document to
other interested individuals and organizations.
--
Ed Christopher
708-283-3534 (V)
708-574-8131 (cell)
FHWA RC-TST-PLN
19900 Governors Dr
Olympia Fields, IL 60461