From: Census2000 <Census2000(a)ccmc.org>
Census Bureau Reports Final Mail-Back Rates;
Court Hears Preliminary Arguments in Virginia Redistricting Case
Plus: Legislators Propose Fixed Term for Census Director;
Congressional and Monitoring Board news; and more.
The final mail response rate for Census 2000 was 67 percent, two percent
higher than in 1990, Commerce Department and Census Bureau officials
reported at a Washington, DC press briefing on September 19. The
revised figure reflects an additional three million households that
mailed back a form after the April 18 cut-off date - more late forms
than in any previous census. The Census Bureau reported a preliminary
response rate of 65 percent after the mail-out/mail-back phase of the
count ended.
Five states - California, Massachusetts, Nevada, Rhode Island, and
Wyoming -increased their response rates by five percent over 1990,
meeting the Census Bureau's "'90 Plus 5" challenge to state and local
governments. Nearly 9,300 other governmental units also met or exceeded
their challenge goal. Thirteen of the nation's 15 largest cities and 14
of the 15 largest counties equaled or beat their 1990 response rates.
The difference between the mail-back rates for the short and long census
forms was eleven percent. Census Bureau Director Kenneth Prewitt said
census takers closed most of that gap during follow-ups visits to
unresponsive households.
Secretary of Commerce Norman Y. Mineta praised career Census Bureau
employees for their "tremendous service" to the country, noting that
they work largely out of the public spotlight for most of each decade.
He also highlighted the importance of census data as "fundamental to the
operation of the economy." Commerce Under Secretary Robert J. Shapiro
said the 140,000 Census 2000 'partner' organizations from every sector
of society made this count "a model of civic engagement by the
government." The Census Bureau has begun its campaign to thank
organizations and local governments that participated in the partnership
program.
Dr. Prewitt called the increase over the 1990 mail-back rate an
"historical achievement" because "a decade long trend line in social
behavior is hard to change... and reverse." Census 2000 is the first
since the all-mail census started in 1970 to improve upon the response
of the previous count. The mail response rate dropped from a high of 78
percent in 1970 to 75 percent in 1980 and 65 percent in 1990. The
Census Bureau projected a 61 percent response rate for 2000.
The director also said the high response rates are not predictive of the
count's accuracy. "You can have a quite good census and still not solve
the undercount problem," Dr. Prewitt said, noting that the undercount
affects two to three percent of the population and is disproportionately
high for some population subgroups. He said the Accuracy and Coverage
Evaluation (A.C.E. survey) would give the best measure of accuracy.
The mail response rate represents the percentage of known addresses in
the universe of "mail-back" operations from which the Bureau collected a
questionnaire or Be Counted form by mail, Internet, or over the
telephone. Enumerators later determine that some of those addresses are
vacant or nonexistent housing units. The Census Bureau also counts some
housing units in rural or remote areas, including many American Indian
reservations and Alaska Native villages, by sending enumerators to
verify or determine the address and location, and to conduct an
interview in person. Housing units counted through these
"update/enumerate" or "list/enumerate" procedures are not in the
mail-back universe. Next year, the Bureau will release the mail return
rate, which represents the percentage of occupied housing units that
responded by mail, Internet, or telephone. The return rate is a more
precise indication of public participation in the census.
Response rates for all governmental units are available on the Census
Bureau's web site at <http://rates.census.gov/>
Legislation to set a fixed term for Census Bureau director: The chairman
and ranking Democrat on the House Subcommittee on the Census have made
separate proposals to set a fixed term of office for the Census Bureau
director. A bill (H.R. 5257) sponsored by Chairman Dan Miller (R-FL)
would establish a ten-year fixed term for the director, currently the
only political appointee in the agency requiring Senate confirmation.
Rep. Miller called the legislation "the first step in removing partisan
politics from the census" and said a fixed term appointment would give
the director more independence and more protection from partisan
influence. The chairman, who has been at odds with the Census Bureau
over the use of statistical sampling to correct for under- and
overcounts, said in a press release that the Clinton Administration "has
politicized the census and damaged the integrity of our national
count." A ten-year term, similar to that of the FBI director, would
allow a director "to supervise an entire census from planning to
implementation," Rep. Miller said.
Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-NY) is seeking cosponsors for legislation she
plans to introduce that would establish a five-year term of office for
the director. Rep. Maloney said her bill would "ensure that the Census
Bureau continues to provide the most accurate, non-partisan data
possible." By starting five-year terms in 2002, the congresswoman said,
her proposal would "guarantee continuity during each decennial census."
President George Bush's census director, Barbara Everitt Bryant, did not
take office until December 1989, only months before the start of a
census she did not help plan.
Traditionally, Census Bureau directors leave office when the President
who appointed them does, if not before. The Bureau's director is the
only head of a major statistical agency in the United States who serves
at the pleasure of the president, instead of a fixed term that usually
carries over from one administration to another.
Congressional hearing postponed: The House Subcommittee on the Census
has postponed its hearing, originally scheduled for September 26, to
review a proposed Commerce Department rule giving the Census Bureau
director final say over the decision to release statistically-corrected
census numbers next spring. The panel has not announced a new date for
the hearing.
State legislative activities update: The U.S. Department of Justice told
a federal court yesterday it should dismiss or delay consideration of a
lawsuit filed last April by the Commonwealth of Virginia, seeking
approval for a new state law that prohibits the use of adjusted census
numbers for redistricting. The court scheduled the hour-long hearing to
consider the Justice Department's argument that it cannot determine if
the Virginia law adversely affects the voting rights of racial
minorities until detailed census data are released next March. Virginia
is one of 16 states covered by section 5 of the 1965 Voting Rights Act,
which requires Justice Department approval for any changes to election
law because of past discrimination in election practices. The state's
Attorney General decided to by-pass the "pre-clearance" procedure and
sought direct approval for the law in court.
Virginia's Deputy Attorney General, Frank Ferguson, urged the judges to
allow the case to proceed, saying a delay might prevent the state from
redrawing its legislative district boundaries in time for the 2001
election cycle. Virginia's lawsuit contends that using statistically
corrected census data for redistricting would violate the Census Act,
which the U.S. Supreme Court said (in a January 1999 ruling) prohibits
the use of sampling to derive state population totals used to apportion
congressional districts among the 50 states. The state also contends
the U.S. Constitution bars the use of statistical sampling in tabulating
population counts used for apportionment and redistricting.
A three-judge panel of the U.S. District Court for the District of
Columbia is considering the case, Commonwealth of Virginia v. Reno, et
al (Civil Action No. 1:00CV00751). Either party to the lawsuit can
appeal the lower court's ruling directly to the U.S. Supreme Court. A
group of 15 cities and counties, led by the City of Los Angeles,
recently joined the lawsuit in opposition to the Virginia law.
Congressional Monitoring Board report due: The eight-member Census
Monitoring Board is scheduled to release its next report the first week
of October. A primary focus of the report will likely be the panel's
visits to dozens of Local Census Offices over the past few months, to
observe and evaluate census field operations.
The Board, created in late 1997, has four members appointed by the
President and four appointed by Republican congressional leaders. It
will operate through September 2001. For information on the Board's
activities and copies of reports, visit the web site for the
Presidential members at
www.cmbp.gov <http://www.cmbp.gov> and the
Congressional members at
www.cmbc.gov <http://www.cmbc.gov>.
Final News Alert: This is the final News Alert the Census 2000
Initiative will distribute. The Communications Consortium Media Center
(CCMC) is grateful to the many organizations and individuals that
received our news updates over the past several years, for their deep
interest in and strong support of an accurate census that collects a
range of critical demographic and socio-economic data. CCMC is
exploring the creation of a similar outreach project to keep Census
Bureau stakeholders informed about key policy decisions affecting the
collection of important socio-economic data in the post-Census 2000
era. We hope to be back in touch with you next year.
Questions about the information contained in this News Alert may be
directed to Terri Ann Lowenthal at 202/484-2270 or, by e-mail at
<terriann2k(a)aol.com>om>. For copies of previous News Alerts and other
information, use our web site
www.census2000.org
<http://www.census2000.org>. Please direct all requests to receive News
Alerts, and all changes in address/phone/fax/e-mail, to the Census 2000
Initiative at <Census2000(a)ccmc.org> or 202/326-8700. Please feel free to
circulate this information to colleagues and other interested
individuals.