From: Terriann2K(a)aol.com
American Community Survey Start Would Be Delayed Further
Under Presidents Budget Proposal for 2004
The Administrations Fiscal Year 2004 (FY04) budget proposal requested
$64.8 million for the American Community Survey (ACS), an amount that
assumes the Census Bureau would not launch the survey nationwide until
the fourth quarter. The federal fiscal year runs from October 1 through
September 30; the fourth quarter covers July through September.
Under the revised ACS plan, the Census Bureau would begin mailing survey
questionnaires in late June 2004 (for the first monthly sample in
July). The ACS will sample 250,000 new households every month (3
million a year). For each monthly sample, the Bureau will first try to
contact unresponsive homes by telephone, and then send survey takers to
visit a portion of households that still have not responded. However,
the Bureau does not plan to start household visits until after September
2004, pushing field work into Fiscal Year 2005 and reducing FY04 ACS
costs considerably. In-person household interviews are the most costly
operation in censuses and surveys.
The Census Bureau has not finalized plans for release of the first
annual ACS estimates for states and places with a population of 65,000
or greater. Under its original ACS plan, which assumed nationwide
launch of the survey this year, the Bureau planned to release estimates
based on a calendar years worth of data collection.
Before expanding the ACS nationwide in July 2004, the Census Bureau
plans to continue sampling homes in the 31 test sites and the
Supplementary Survey for the first nine months of FY04. Those
demonstration projects would then be rolled into the nationwide survey.
The Bureau has been evaluating ACS methodology and operations, as well
as results, in 31 counties around the country since 1999; initial field
testing began in a handful of sites in 1996. In 2000, it launched the
Supplementary Survey, a national sample of 700,000 housing units
annually, to assess the ACS plan on a national scale and provide a point
of comparison with the Census 2000 long form. The national sample
survey produces annual estimates for states and places with a population
of 250,000 or greater. The Bureau has published data from both the test
sites and the Supplementary Survey each year.
Other appropriations news: The Census Bureau also is seeking $2.5
million in FY04 to conduct the 2004 Overseas Enumeration Test in France,
Kuwait, and Mexico. The test, which will evaluate the feasibility of
counting private American citizens living abroad in the 2010 census, was
developed in response to congressional directives. In Census 2000, the
Bureau counted members of the armed forces and civilian federal
employees (and their dependents) stationed overseas on Census Day, using
administrative records. The numbers were included only in state
population totals used to reapportion the U.S. House of
Representatives. The State of Utah sued the Census Bureau after
post-census analyses showed that the overseas counts cost Utah an
additional seat in Congress; the seat went to North Carolina instead.
Utah unsuccessfully argued that Mormon missionaries and other private
citizens living outside of the U.S. during the census should have been
counted along with government personnel. The U.S. Supreme Court refused
to hear the case after a federal appeals court sided with the Census
Bureau.
Even as the FY04 budget process begins, House and Senate negotiators
continued to haggle among themselves and with the White House over
appropriations for non-defense government agencies for Fiscal Year 2003
(FY03). Last week, Congress passed another temporary funding measure
(Continuing Resolution), to keep the government running at last years
spending levels through February 20. Legislators are scheduled to
recess after this week for the Presidents Day holiday.
Census News Briefs are prepared by Terri Ann Lowenthal, an independent
consultant in Washington, DC. Please direct questions about the
information in this News Brief to Ms. Lowenthal at 202/484-2270 or by
e-mail at <terriann2k(a)aol.com>om>. Thank you to the Communications
Consortium Media Center for posting the News Briefs on the Census 2000
Initiative web site, at
www.census2000.org. Please feel free to
circulate this information to colleagues and other interested
individuals.
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Ed Christopher
Metropolitan Activities
Midwest Resource Center
Federal Highway Administration
19900 Governors Drive
Olympia Fields, Illinois 60461
708-283-3534 (V)
708-283-3501 (F)