On Thu, Aug 6, 2009 at 10:44 AM, Ed Christopher <edc(a)berwyned.com> wrote:
Watching this discussion on TAZs has been interesting
and the size of TAZs
has been shown to be more of an art than a rule based science. With that
said I want to toss a few more items on the table when folks are considering
TAZs.
1. TAZs to be used in the production of a CTPP 5-year ACS product will not
have to be developed until the Summer of 2011. The process used will be an
equivalence method where folks will be asked to say which Census Blocks (in
their entirety) will be placed in which TAZ.
2. There will likely be at least two TAZ sizes. The regular TAZs that we
have all come to know and the subject of Bob's question and maybe a larger
one somewhere in the neighborhood of 20,000 residents. Just this week the
AASHTO CTPP Oversight Board established a subcommittee to work out the TAZ
details. Guy Rousseau of the Atlanta MPO is chairing the group.
3. The TAZs will be developed to support a tabulation of the 5-year ACS
data using (2006, 07, 08, 09 and 2010) data that is planned to be released
in the Summer of 2012. For areas that do not submit TAZs Tracks (and maybe
Block Groups) will be the default.
4. For the CTPP 5-year tabulation there is a NCHRP project (NCHRP 8-79)
getting underway that, if successful, will take any disclosure issues off
the table. The RFP for the project, "Producing Transportation Data Products
from the American Community Survey that Comply with Disclosure Rules" was
just finalized and put out on the street two days ago. See
http://www.trb.org/TRBNet/ProjectDisplay.asp?ProjectID=2708 to view the
RFP and details.
5. Assuming NCHRP 8-79 is successful, which there is no reason why it
should not be, TAZ sizes will not be affected by the artificial disclosure
rules and instead can go back to being determined based on good planning
practice. Which doesn't answer Bob's original question but does help put
the focus where it should be.
6. Regarding disclosure rules we know from our attempt to get some CTPP
tables produced from the 3-year ACS that if the same rules for the 3-year
were extended to the 5-year data the losses would be so devastating that
there would be no usable 5-year data, which is why we fought for the NCHRP
project.
7. In terms of a 3-year CTPP ACS product we hope to have one released in
the Spring/Summer of 2010 using 2006, 07 and 08 data. This release will be
subject to a variety of data suppression and disclosure rules and will only
be for areas of 20,000 residents or more. To see the tables that were
designed for this go to
http://trbcensus.com/products/
8. In terms of TAZ sizes for planning the Florida DOT through its modeling
group has published a report on the subject. I do not have the link to the
report handy but maybe someone else the list can find it and post it.
I hope this helps clarify a few things
Paddock, Bob wrote:
I must admit that, of late, I have gotten lost in
the woods while trying
to see all the trees. During these past months I have been engaged in
developing a new TAZ system for the Minneapolis – St. Paul MPO area that
will both serve the needs of travel demand modeling here at the Metropolitan
Council *AND* provide us with the information we want from a 2010 CTPP-like
product.
This new TAZ system is substantially more refined than those of the past
and should result in reasonable travel loadings on our arterial roadway
network. However, certain issues have been raising their knobby heads
regarding zone size that probably will clash with Census Disclosure Board
rules. Does anyone have a reasonable idea as to what minimum population or
household levels a TAZ will need to attain in order to circumvent large
numbers of “blank” cells? I suspect that there is not an easy,
uncomplicated answer but would like to hear one nonetheless.
*Bob Paddock***
Transportation Planning
Metropolitan Council
Bob.paddock(a)metc.state.mn.us
651 / 602-1340
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Ed Christopher
708-283-3534 (V)
708-574-8131 (cell)
FHWA Resource Center Planning Team
4749 Lincoln Mall Drive, Suite 600
Matteson, IL 60443
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