From: Census2000(a)ccmc.org
Final Mail Response of 65% Equals 1990 Rate:
Plus: Stakeholders Voice Support for Long Form Data;
Census Advisory Committees Meet; and more.
Sixty-five percent of households filled out their census forms during
the first phase of Census 2000, the Census Bureau reported at a news
conference on April 19. The mail response rate, which includes
households that returned a form by mail, or provided their answers over
the Internet or by telephone, equals the 1990 rate and exceeds the
bureau's projected response of 61 percent. Beginning on April 27, about
500,000 census enumerators will visit the more than 43 million
households that did not yet answer the census. The 'non-response
follow-up' phase is scheduled to run through early July.
Census Bureau Director Kenneth Prewitt called the response rate "a
serious achievement; it is news to celebrate." Until 2000, mail
response rates had declined every decade since the 1970 census, the
first to rely primarily on mailed questionnaires. The rate was 78
percent in 1970, 75 percent in 1980, and 65 percent in 1990. "The
country is saying that democracy is about obligation as well as
benefits, about responsibility as well as rights," the director
observed. He gave credit to more than 100,000 local government,
community, civic, religious, and business "partners" who worked to
promote Census 2000. The Census Bureau challenged local governments to
exceed their 1990 mail response rates by five percent. About 15 percent
met their 'Plus 5' targets, although no states did.
Dr. Prewitt also said the difference in the mail response rate for
households that received a short form and households that received a
long form was 12 percent. He declined to speculate on whether public
criticism of the long form questions contributed to the lower return
rate for those forms. 66.6 percent of short form households have
answered the census, compared to 54.1 percent of long form households.
The differential is about twice the gap at the same point in the 1990
census.
The mail response figure does not include 'Be Counted' forms that were
available in public places for people who did not receive or misplaced a
questionnaire at their home, or who believe they were left off the form
completed by someone else in their household. Census takers must visit
the address provided on a Be Counted form to verify its existence and
confirm the number of residents. The final mail-back rate also does not
reflect the count in remote areas, where the absence of accurate address
lists requires enumerators to record the location of housing units and
interview the residents in person. This 'list/enumerate' procedure is
scheduled to conclude at the end of April.
A spokesperson for Rep. Dan Miller, who heads the House Census
Subcommittee, said the chairman was pleased with the Census Bureau's
success in stemming the decline in the response rate. The congressman
also is concerned, his spokesperson said, that plans for the
door-to-door operation do not focus enough attention on historically
'hard-to-count' areas. Rep. Miller said the bureau should target any
savings it realizes from exceeding its projected mail response rate at
improving the count of population groups that have been missed at higher
rates in the past. Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-NY), the Census
Subcommittee's senior Democrat, praised the Census Bureau for its
"outstanding achievement" and also noted that the mail-back rate for
Manhattan was five percent above the borough's 1990 rate. She urged
people who did not respond during the mail phase to cooperate with
enumerators during the "most critical and labor intensive phase" of the
census.
The mail response rate, which reflects the portion of all housing units
that return a questionnaire, differs from the mail return rate, which is
the percent of occupied housing units mailing back forms. However, it
is the response rate that affects both the cost estimates and the scope
of the fieldwork, since the Census Bureau does not know whether an
unresponsive housing unit is occupied or vacant until an enumerator
visits. The mail return rate, calculated after the census is finished,
is a truer measure of public cooperation. Like the overall response
rate, the return rate from occupied housing units has dropped
substantially since 1970, from 87 percent then to 74 percent in 1990.
Final mail response rates for states, cities, American Indian
reservations, and other governmental units are posted on the Census
Bureau's web site as
www.census.gov <http://www.census.gov> (click on
"Initial Response Rates").
Stakeholders continue support for long form data: Civic and business
stakeholders moved to counter public criticism of the census long form
by some members of Congress and conservative activists. Last week, the
Census Bureau's five race and ethnic advisory committees, and a majority
of members of the Commerce Secretary's 2000 Census Advisory Committee,
issued a joint statement reaffirming their support for the collection of
demographic and socio-economic information on the long form. These
data, they said, are needed "to [assist] the vulnerable in our
population" and are "critical to the government's decision-making about
our economy and our work-life." Advisory committee members urged
residents who did not mail back a census form to cooperate fully when
enumerators visit and to answer all questions on the short and long
forms.
In Congress, legislators appointed to iron out differences between the
House and Senate versions of the fiscal year 2001 budget resolution,
agreed to drop from the final bill non-binding language on census data
collection approved earlier by the Senate. The Senate amendment,
offered by Sen. Robert Smith (R-NH), suggested that no one should be
prosecuted, fined, or "harassed" for failing to answer census questions
on "race, national origin, living conditions, personal habits or mental
and/or physical condition." Rep. Dan Miller had written to House Budget
Committee Chairman John Kasich, urging the conferees to strike the
census provision because it was not related to budget issues.
Rep. Carolyn Maloney and Sen. Daniel P. Moynihan (D-NY), joined by 52
Representatives and 13 Senators, sent a letter to Census Bureau Director
Prewitt expressing support for the collection of data on the long form.
The legislators, Rep. Maloney said in a written statement, would help
"spread the message... that the census long form is used to collect
vitally important information" about the needs of communities.
Census advisory panels hold joint meeting: The Census Bureau's
professional association and race/ethnic advisory committees, and the
2000 Census Advisory Committee to the Secretary of Commerce, met jointly
on April 14 to review the status of census operations. Senior bureau
officials discussed the progress of the mail phase, Telephone
Questionnaire Assistance and Be Counted activities, recruitment efforts,
and special enumeration operations, as well as plans for enumerator
visits to unresponsive households and the 'cooperation' phase of the
advertising campaign. Compared to the same point in the 1990 census,
they said, the 2000 census was more successful: they had achieved their
hiring goals on time, the public was more aware of the census, and mail
response rates were on target.
Bureau staff also reported that Questionnaire Assistance Centers would
close after April 14; the count of people in 'group quarters' (such as
college dormitories, nursing homes, and military barracks) would run
through April 23; the bureau had started telephone follow-up for
households whose completed forms did not provide demographic information
about all of the listed residents (called 'coverage edit'); the final
phase of the general advertising and promotion campaign would run until
mid-to-late May, with all new ads showing the identification badge
enumerators would wear; and after May, the bureau would develop radio
ads targeting communities where follow-up visits were proceeding
slowly. Census Bureau and federal agency staff also briefed advisory
committee members on plans to tabulate and report data on race and
Hispanic origin. (See the March 13 Census 2000 Initiative News Alert
for a detailed summary of the tabulation policy. New guidance issued by
the Office of Management and Budget can be found at
www.whitehouse.gov/OMB/bulletins/index.html
Several participants expressed concern about the inadequate supply of
foreign language Be Counted forms in many areas. Robert Shapiro,
Commerce Under Secretary for Economic Affairs, acknowledged that demand
for forms in certain languages exceeded the bureau's expectations. The
bureau would boost advertising in affected communities, he said, to
encourage telephone response for those who had not yet found an
opportunity to be counted. The telephone assistance lines
(1-800-471-9424) will remain open through early June. Be Counted forms
could not be photocopied because the data processing equipment could
only scan original questionnaires.
Dr. Prewitt, addressing committee members at the end of the day, called
Census 2000 the best to date operationally. "All big systems worked,"
he said, adding that some components "at the edge" had not worked as
well as the Bureau had hoped. He cautioned that the early operational
successes would not necessarily translate to a "more accurate" count.
Dr. Prewitt also shared his concerns about the lower mail-back rate for
long forms and the criticism of long form questions generated initially
by some radio talk show hosts. Many national leaders, the director
said, failed to capitalize on the opportunity to discuss two important
concepts: the role of information in today's society, and civic
engagement and responsibility at the dawn of a new century. He gave
local elected and civic leaders credit for reaffirming the need for long
form data in light of the public controversy.
Commerce Secretary William Daley has appointed four new organizations to
his Census 2000 advisory panel: the AFL-CIO, the American Foundation for
the Blind, the National Asian Pacific American Legal Consortium
(NAPALC), and the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed
Officials Educational Fund (NALEO). The Census Bureau also has
increased the number of race and ethnic advisory committees from four to
five, replacing the original committee on the Asian and Pacific Islander
populations with the Advisory Committee on the Asian Population and the
Advisory Committee on the Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander
Populations, to reflect changes in the standard federal race
categories. Another joint meeting of the advisory committees is
scheduled for July 28.
State legislative activities update: On April 9, Virginia Governor James
Gilmore III (R) signed into law a bill (House Bill 1486) that requires
the use of 'unadjusted' census numbers for redrawing congressional,
state legislative, and local political district boundaries. Because
Virginia is one of 16 states covered in whole or part by section 5 of
the 1965 Voting Rights Act, the new law (now called Chapter 884) must be
approved either by the U.S. Department of Justice or the U.S. District
Court for the District of Columbia before it can take effect. In
mid-April, Virginia's Attorney General announced that the state would
attempt to bypass the Department of Justice approval process through
legal action filed with the U.S. District Court. Opponents of
Virginia's law, including civil rights groups, indicated that they would
move to block the move in court.
Questions about the information contained in this News Alert may be
directed to TerriAnn Lowenthal at 202/484-2270 or, by e-mail at
terriann2k(a)aol.com. For copies of previous News Alerts and other
information, use our web site
www.census2000.org . Please direct all
requests to receive News Alerts, and all changes in
address/phone/fax/e-mail, to the Census 2000 Initiative at
Census2000(a)ccmc.org or 202/326-8700. Please feel free to circulate this
information to colleagues and other interested individuals.