Colleagues, Elaine Murakami at FHWA has suggested I contact you. I
am working on a county-to-county work flow analysis for North Carolina's 100
counties, and am interested to know if anyone is/has done something similar
for cities or for other states or US regions. The issues we are addressing
are:
1. Has inter-county commuting increased as a share of trips, VMT, and fuel
use since 1990?
2. What percent of state travel and fuel use is in intra- and inter-county
commuting? Is it a declining or increasing share?
My student (Ellen Cervera) has completed the first phase of her
work, for 2000, and is beginning the 1990 analysis. Her problem involves
computing, for all NC co-to-co flows (100*100), the % of vehicle trips
(adjusted for carpooling), the % of VMT (using a distance matrix and 20 %
road circuituity), and % of fuel use (using weighted fuel rates from Hy
Statistics VM-1) that is inter-co versus intra-co; also these %'s as a
function of total state use, and changes in these %'s from 1990 to 2000. The
effects are hypothesized to be compensating: that is, trips are getting
longer and the % of travel that is inter-county is increasing, but fuel use
is declining per mile, so the magnitude of fuel use in inter-county may be
stable or declining over time. My modeling system is TransDAD
(
http://www.caliper.com)
Anyone working on a similar problem with the 2000 county-to-county
data? We would appreciate receiving materials at this location or at fax
704-687-3442.
Thanks
Prof. David T. Hartgen
UNC Charlotte
704-687-4308