Pete,
Thanks for your reply. I am looking primarily for household incomes as the most urgent
data. Income data has always been a notoriously subjective item with wildly varying
degrees of reporting accuracy, both intentional and unintentional. I obviously need to do
more direct research with the Bureau about the ACS usefulness at various population
thresholds.
Robert
Robert R. Allen, AICP
Abilene MPO Transportation Planning Director
400 Oak Street, Suite 102, Abilene, TX 79602
Office (325) 676-6243
Fax (325) 676-6398
Cell (325) 513-4615
________________________________
From: ctpp-news-bounces(a)chrispy.net [mailto:ctpp-news-bounces@chrispy.net] On Behalf Of
Pete Swensson
Sent: Monday, October 11, 2010 1:19 PM
To: ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net
Subject: RE: [CTPP] RE: TAZ delineation for CTPP (2006-2010) tabulation SCHEDULE
Robert:
Well, the ACS data is what it is - can't get around that. The sample size is smaller
than that used for the 2000 Decennial Census sample survey (the equivalent of about 12%
versus about 16%), so there are indeed many who are dissatisfied with the resulting higher
margin of error. This dissatisfaction is probably increased because Census did not report
the margin of error until the ACS came along, in the past allowing Census users (myself
included) some degree of blissful ignorance of the actual level of uncertainty. At the
small area level, notable error rates actually have been in the sample data all along.
Whether it will "not be good" at the block group level will depend on how good
it has to be for your purposes, and on what data element you are measuring (e.g., smaller
percent margin of error for SOV rates than for bicycle commuters).
Block groups are of comparable size nationwide, for small communities and large, ranging
in the 2000 Census from about 600 to about 3000 and averaging about 1200 (the 2000 Census
geography will be that used in the 2005-09 ACS product). The ACS block group data
consequently will be of comparable utility for small communities and large, since it is
the size of the block group that counts, not the size of the community. One exception to
this rule: Census uses higher sampling rates in low population areas (e.g., small towns
and small rural counties) so that they can get a large enough sample to achieve
statistical significance when they have to report data for small political jurisdictions.
Bottom line: for better or worse, ACS 2005-09 block group data is all we will have in the
next few months with small area socio-economic and journey-to-work characteristics, unless
one has the resources to do one's own surveys. As Ed Christopher pointed out, the
2010 block data also will be available for our use in delineating new TAZs, though it will
be limited to basic demographic information, dwelling counts, and owner vs. renter vs.
group quarters.
Pete Swensson, Senior Planner
Thurston Regional Planning Council
2424 Heritage Ct. SW
Olympia, WA 98502
(360) 741-2530 (direct line)
(360) 956-7575 (main desk)
(360) 956-7815 (fax)
swenssp@trpc.org<mailto:swenssp@trpc.org>
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