Will this be their approach in future year estimates as well?
The bottom line here is that the Census Bureau has abandoned its previous methods for calculating the subcounty estimates. For 2011, they basically carried the county % change in household population down to the sub-county units (MCDs and places), apparently holding the GQ pop count the same as the 2010 count (most of the time).
In my personal view, coming from a strong MCD state, it would have been better if they had just not done 2011 estimates at all.
Patty Becker
At 08:57 AM 7/2/2012, Ed Christopher wrote:
This is an interesting article Wendell Cox sent me from a friend of
friend. We all remember when the Census Bureau changed from using
county based estimates to using sub-county estimates in 2009 which are
then used to factor and weight the ACS. I had thought the process of
going from a county to a sub-county was a little more sophisticated but
maybe its not.
http://www.urbanophile.com/2012/06/30/misreferencing-misoverestimated-population-by-chris-briem/
--
Ed Christopher
708-283-3534 (V)
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Matteson, IL 60443
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Patricia C. (Patty) Becker 248/354-6520
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