Mr. Hutton - land use forecasts are
likely more in the realm of spreadsheets and general GIS programs than
specific software for it. Probably quite a few folks on this list
could send you one of their spreadsheets, but they may all be different
and it might be as much work to tinker with them for your needs than just
starting from scratch. (Some public and private agencies also do
county-level forecasts if you're not already aware of them.)
Mr. Srinivasan - hey, great sense of
humor on the Do Not Call thing!
Sam Granato
Ohio DOT, Office of Technical Services
1980 W. Broad Street, Columbus, OH 43223
Phone: 614-644-6796, Fax: 614-752-8646
"Things are more like they are now than they've ever been before."
- Howard Maple
ctpp-news-request@chrispy.net Sent by: ctpp-news-bounces@chrispy.net
07/14/2005 01:00 PM
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Today's Topics:
1. Population Projections & Socio-economic Data (HuttonD@thempc.org)
2. National Personal Travel Survey (NPTS) -- Add-On Costs
(Srinivasan, Nanda)
Message: 1
Date: Wed, 13 Jul 2005 15:37:33 -0400
From: HuttonD@thempc.org
Subject: [CTPP] Population Projections & Socio-economic Data
To: ctpp-news maillist <ctpp-news@chrispy.net>
Message-ID:
<OF609396C3.3636451C-ON8525703D.006A3FFD-8525703D.006BCF05@Thempc.org>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii"
We are an small MPO (250,000 population) and are interested in locating
a
software program to help us with population projections and socio-economic
data on a TAZ level. The feature we are looking for is the ability to
adjust the long range projections based on annual growth. Does anybody
have any suggestions?
Dennis Hutton
Metropolitan Planning Commission
110 East State St.
P.O. Box 8246
Savannah, GA. 31412-8246
912-651-1450
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Message: 2
Date: Thu, 14 Jul 2005 10:11:33 -0400
From: "Srinivasan, Nanda" <Nanda.Srinivasan@fhwa.dot.gov>
Subject: [CTPP] National Personal Travel Survey (NPTS) -- Add-On Costs
To: <ctpp-news@chrispy.net>
Message-ID:
<29C4CA30630DDF448F49BF88EA8E7767013025C0@fhxhq2.fhwa1.fhwa.dot.gov>
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All-
In the past week, we have received several e-mails expressing interest
in the NPTS Add-On program. Many of you have asked us for a cost estimate.
Because the next NPTS has not been designed, nor has contractor(s) selection
been made, we cannot quote a price for add-on samples. However, we can
give you some "guesses." Here is a list of common questions we've
received so far, along with answers from Susan Liss (FHWA), and the rest
of the NPTS team.
1. What did it cost in the past?
For the 2001 survey, the cost of an Add-on sample was $165 per completed
household.
2. When will we know more about costs?
FHWA has let a Request For Information (RFI) to get projected costs for
the next survey (using the 2001 survey content and approach as a strawman).
The RFI was let on 6/24 and responses are due on 7/24. We expect to contact
RFI responders during the month of August to work out questions and suggestions.
We plan to have a much better estimate of survey costs by Labor Day.
The Request for Information, posted at:
<http://www2.eps.gov/spg/DOT/FHWA>
Go to Office of Acquisition Management, Washington DC, click on Posted
Dates, then click on Previous Days, then go to June 24th and click on "Request
for Information for Costs of Conducting the NPTS 01".
3. Why would the costs change from the 2001 survey?
>From my experience with the NPTS series, the response rate is the big
driver of costs. Much of the survey resources are devoted to recruiting
households and keeping them involved in the survey through completion.
Since we conduct a telephone survey, we are hopeful that the Do Not Call
List (which does not apply to research surveys) has made the public more
amenable to participating in a telephone survey since they are not being
deluged with telemarketer calls.
4. For planning purposes, what number should I use now?
I would use $175 per completed household. BUT, recognize this is my best
guess-timate. It is not an actual cost estimate.
5. Is it possible that the costs will be less than the $165 per household
that the add-ons paid in the 2001 survey?
Yes, it is possible. One of the reasons we let the Request For Information
was to see if we could offer the add-on samples at a lower cost.
6. What if the next NPTS has different content and methods than the survey
described in the Request for Information?
We will need to bear that in mind and make appropriate adjustments as we
plan the next survey. However, we also plan to have enough Add-ons so that
a survey very similar to the 2001 could be conducted for you, based on
the cost estimates we receive from the RFI. There is certain core content
to a household travel survey that will not change.
7. Is there a minimum sample size?
In the three survey years that add-ons have been conducted (1990, 1995
and 2001), we have suggested that a minimum sample of 1000 households be
conducted for an add-on jurisdiction.
8. How can I calculate the appropriate sample size for my jurisdiction?
Appropriate sample size depends on the size of your area, the questions
you want answered by the survey and the degree of statistical validity
you need. Nancy McGuckin of the NPTS Team can help you get a better idea
of an appropriate sample size.
Once the survey research firm(s) have been selected for the next NPTS,
their sampling statisticians can work with you on sample size and other
sample needs. (No, they don't try to sell you more samples--- my experience
has been that they are annoyingly scientific about the process.)
9. How can I give my input for the next NPTS survey?
There are several ways -
. Respond to the RFI (see above) - comments and input on all aspects of
the next NPTS are being solicited, in addition to the cost estimates
. Visit to the Community of Practice website for NPTS, where we are establishing
a communications channel with our potential add-ons, other data users and
other survey stakeholders. Go to <http://knowledge.fhwa.dot.gov/cops/hcx.nsf/home>
Scroll to the bottom, and click on "Household Travel Data Program"
. Call or email one of the NPTS Team members
NPTS Team
Susan Liss, Project Manager, 202-366-5060, susan.liss@fhwa.dot.gov
Nanda Srinivasan, Travel Data Analyst, User Support & GIS, 202-366-5021
nanda.srinivasan@fhwa.dot.gov (yes, this is the same Nanda Srinivasan that
also works on CTPP)
Yuki Nakamoto, SAS Programmer, 202-366-6958 yuki.nakamoto@fhwa.dot.gov
(works on NPTS on Tues & Thurs)
Thank you for your interest in the NPTS Add-on Program. Those of us on
the NPTS Team believe the Add-on component is a useful, tested, comprehensive
way of obtaining a household travel dataset for your area.
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