Between 1990 and 2000 there are large increases in
the population of people with disabilities as related to transportation.
The questions asked on the long form changed substantially and the data is
presented differently. In 1990, the data was presented as people who have
either mobility or self-care disabilities (I suppose you chose one or
both). In 2000, I believe the question was formatted to ask if
people had disabilities that affected their ability to travel outside the
home. The data is presented by type of disability including Sensory,
Physical, Mental, Self-Care, Go-Outside-Home, and
Employment disabilities.
I am wondering if anyone knows how much of the
increase in the number of people reporting "Go-Outside-Home Disabilities" over
the 1990 "Mobility Limitations" is due to the way in which the questions were
asked and how much is due to increases in this population? The elderly
have a higher incidence of disabilities so as the elderly population increases
one would expect an increase in the numbers of people with "Mobility" or
"Go-Outside-Home" disabilities. Also, the incidence of certain kinds of
disabilities has been increasing in new-borns.
In the past I have used formulas to calculate
transit demand for the general population or for the population of the elderly
and disabled. They are calibrated based on the 1990 definitions.
When I use the 2000 numbers, there are some definite problems - the formula for
Elderly and Disabled trip demand is higher than the Total trip demand. How
might I need to adjust these to account for differences in the
definitions? Has anyone worked on adjusting or re-calibrating demand
formulas based on the new definitions and actual ridership in
communities?
Suzanne O'Neill
TransitPlus, Inc.